Anthony P's MLB Model September 22, 2022

Anthony p
As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB and NFL models as often as possible.

To read the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.
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The value plays went 3-4 yesterday and lost about 0.32 units. The model likes another set of dogs today but I am not feeling it.

St Louis has scored 1 run in their last 4, Tampa is going with reliever Chargois and even though he sounds like a fresh white win he's not fresh at all + injuries continue to creep up on the Rays. As for the White Sox, Cueto is due for some regression based on his metrics and he's facing Bieber whose ERA is under 2 in the last 30 days!

Good luck

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