Anthony P's WNBA Model September 8, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEP 8, 2023

Sports betting is a fine art, often requiring a blend of research, instinct, and sometimes, a touch of luck. As we dive into the landscape of WNBA betting, a particular game has caught the eyes of many based on our betting model.

Yesterday's revelation was the Sparks. If you heeded the advice and looked for the line to breach +15, you would have been in for a treat. The game wrapped up at +16, a sweet spot for those hunting for value. The golden question here is, did you seize the moment?

Today, our focus shifts towards the Seattle Storm and their current line at +11.5. For those who’ve been keenly watching, you would've noticed this line has seen a significant increase, pushing upwards by a full 1.5 points from its opening. On the face of it, this movement could have several interpretations. The Seattle Storm is facing a turbulent phase. With a string of losses, 6 in their last 8 games to be precise, they are already out of the playoff contention. These statistics might make them seem like an unlikely choice, especially with their recent ATS record: 1-3-1 in the last 5 road games and a dismal 1-4-1 in their last 6 games overall.

But here's where the plot thickens. The Dallas Wings, although holding a playoff position in the fourth seed, have shown inconsistencies in their gameplay. They have an even split in their last 10 games. Their ATS stats also present a dichotomy - 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games but 2-5 in their last 7 home games.

It's apparent why the Wings are the favorites. They’re playing at home, they have a better recent record, and most importantly, they are still jostling for a better playoff position. But here's a contrarian view for the seasoned bettor: the 11.5 point spread in favor of the Wings might be a tad too high. While the Wings have demonstrated their strength, their struggle to maintain a consistent winning streak can't be overlooked. On the other side, even though the Storm's playoff dreams are dashed, their spirit isn't. Their recent games have shown a team that's competing vigorously and still has the fire burning.

In conclusion, while the Dallas Wings have every reason to be favored, and rightly so, the real essence of sports betting lies in identifying value. The Seattle Storm, with the given points, presents an intriguing opportunity. The battle between the Wings' aspiration for a better playoff seed and the Storm's undying zeal promises this to be a closer game than expected.


MODEL Bets: Phoenix +18.5, Seattle +11.5
Anthony's leans: Seattle +13 or better

Good luck

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