Anthony P's WNBA Model September 6, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEP 6, 2023

Another day, another dollar, or so we hope in the fast-paced world of sports betting. After a humbling 1-1 record yesterday—let's not dwell on the Mercury debacle—it's time to shake off the dust and look forward. Tonight, all eyes are on a seemingly lopsided matchup between the Seattle Storm and the Atlanta Dream. But like most things in sports betting, it's never as straightforward as it seems.

The Seattle Storm, after a recent skid losing 5 of their last 7, are eliminated from playoff contention. Zero motivation? Probably. Now let's talk about the Atlanta Dream, who, despite being the seventh seed and still in the playoff hunt, have lost 10 of their last 14 games. Obvious favorites? Not so fast.

You see, the numbers tell a story that casual bettors might overlook. The Dream might be at home and fighting for a better playoff seed, but they've failed to cover 10 of their last 14 games. Betting against the spread (ATS), they are a dismal 4-10 in that same stretch. The Storm, on the other hand, have some surprising road tenacity, going 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 away from their home court. Add to that the Dream's 0-3 ATS record in their last three meetings with the Storm, and suddenly this game starts to look like a trap for unwary bettors.

So, what's the play here? You could argue that the Dream should dominate given their need for a win, but their recent form doesn't inspire confidence to lay the chalk. As for the Storm, their overall losing streak may have dampened their spirits but hasn't wholly deflated their road game capabilities.

With both teams struggling to find their form, it becomes essential to look for betting angles that others might neglect. This is where first-half (1H) betting comes into play. The Dream are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Given that they are fighting for their playoff lives, I expect them to come out of the gate strong, mirroring what the Mystics did in Phoenix yesterday. Therefore, my strategy deviates from the full-game perspectives and focuses on the Dream to cover the first half.

MODEL Bets: Seattle +8.5
Anthony's leans: Atlanta 1H -4.5

Good luck

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