Anthony P's WNBA Model September 19, 2023

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This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEPT 19, 2023

The New York Liberty’s victory in game 1 by 15 points not only set the tone for game 2 but also showcased their dominance in recent times. New York, entered game 2 as a -10.5 favorite after closing at -9.5 in game 1. Their track record, having lost merely 2 games since July 30, seems to have strongly influenced the betting market. A staggering 85% of both the handle and tickets are confidently banking on New York to continue their winning streak.

But the sports world loves an underdog story, and the Washington Mystics might just script one. Facing the imminent threat of packing up for the season, the Mystics are under intense pressure to force a decisive game 3. Historically, their road game statistics of 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road encounters don't particularly infuse confidence.

Contrastingly, the Liberty are flying high on confidence. They boast of a commendable 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and an impressive 11-5 ATS in their recent 16 outings.

However, dismissing the Mystics would be premature. One should remember that Mystics aren't your run-of-the-mill seventh seed team. There's an underlying belief that the Mystics can rebound from their recent setback. Having had some time to regroup, re-strategize, and analyze their game 1 performance, one can expect a rejuvenated team, especially considering they are now healthier than they've been for a while. And while the Liberty have been stellar, their record as 10.5-point favorites or more stands at a slightly shaky 7-9.

Concluding thoughts? If the Mystics can channel their first-quarter vigor from the last game and maintain it throughout the match, they not only have a chance to cover but might also surprise many by flipping the narrative. Alright, while I wouldn't recommend going all out with a moneyline bet on this game, I do anticipate a better and more consistent performance from Washington.

MODEL Bets: Washington +10.5
Anthony's picks:


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