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Anthony P's WNBA Model September 1, 2023

Anthony P
Anthony P
We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.


Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free Discord server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.


WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEP 1, 2023


In the fast-paced world of sports betting, every decimal point counts, and every trend has its say. As we delve into the myriad of games across different leagues, you could be forgiven for feeling overwhelmed. But don't worry, we've got you covered, breaking down where the smart money is—or isn't.

Connecticut Sun's Unexpected Downturn

Phoenix surprised everyone by covering in Connecticut last night. It was a game where the Sun closed as a 15-point favorite, thanks to some late square money that came in hot and heavy. Given their form, it looked like a surefire bet that the Sun would dominate. But alas, it seems their focus was already on their next matchup against New York tonight, a psychological misstep that cost them.

The Rise and Fall of the Lynx

The Minnesota Lynx had an interesting morning, opening as a 2.5 underdog but swinging to become a 1-point favorite. However, that value got gobbled up really quickly. My betting model is still in favor of Indiana at +5.5, sporting an enticing 6% Expected Value (EV). While home underdogs in the WNBA have been covering at a higher-than-expected rate, that number has fallen from 60% to 57% over the past 35 days. The market might be correcting itself, but it's an interesting tidbit for bettors to keep an eye on.

Dream vs. Lynx: The Battle for Playoff Seeding

When it comes to the Atlanta Dream, love has been in short supply. They've been slipping dramatically in recent weeks, making each game a do-or-die situation for playoff seeding. Interestingly, both teams have less-than-stellar ATS records; the Dream are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games, while the Lynx haven't fared well at home (2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games). Betting trends, in this case, seem to cancel each other out, but if you were to follow the model, the Lynx at home seems to offer some hidden value.

Fever vs. Wings: The Underdog Story Worth a Look

The Indiana Fever is surging at just the right time, riding a 3-game winning streak but still sitting 4 games out of a playoff spot. Meanwhile, the Dallas Wings, hanging onto the fourth seed, need to regain their footing after losing 5 of their last 9. Both teams offer tempting ATS trends, especially for those following the "bet the home underdog system" in the WNBA this season. Indiana might not be the smartest outright pick here, but given their recent form, they're worth a second look as a point-spread underdog.

Sun vs. Liberty: A Clash of Titans with A Twist

Though there seems to be no significant value in tonight's matchup between the Connecticut Sun and the New York Liberty, this is one you won't want to miss. The Sun will be in a back-to-back game situation and that's always a red flag, especially for a team that's pretty much locked into the third seed and could be facing motivational issues. On the flip side, the Liberty are rested, at home, and have been covering the spread with aplomb in recent outings. With a lot working in their favor, the Liberty could very easily take care of a fatigued Sun team.


MODEL Bets: Fever +5.5
Anthony's leans: Liberty -8

Good luck

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Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games.

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