Anthony P's WNBA Model Aug 22, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR AUG 22, 2023

Content to follow. In the meantime, the Sky's game was covered in the Overnight Grind!

UPDATE:

Late morning and early afternoon in the sports betting world can often feel like the stock market's opening bell. Numbers shift, lines adjust, and the sharps make their moves, setting the tone for the rest of the day. Today was no exception, especially in the WNBA.

The Connecticut Sun's line, which began at -6, has seen a significant drop, now sitting at -3.5. This aligns perfectly with our initial projection of -3.5. But the real intrigue lies with the Chicago Sky. After sharp money was reported on Chicago at -2.5, the line has surged to -4, and there's a palpable sense it might push to -4.5. For those looking for value, there might be an opportunity for buyback if it reaches +4.5 or +5.

The Las Vegas Aces, on the other hand, have seen their line stretch from -15 to -16.5. But the standout model play for today? The Atlanta Dream.

For those line grinders, there's still an opportunity with the Minnesota Lynx. While market makers have adjusted their numbers, retail shops lag behind, offering Minnesota at a tantalizing +6.5.

While the Sky's game has already been dissected in the Overnight Grind, let's pivot our focus to the other matchups on the slate.

The Aces, despite their dominant roster, have shown some inconsistencies lately. A recent loss to the Sparks as 17-point favorites raises eyebrows. Are they getting complacent, or is it just a minor hiccup? The Dream, on the other hand, are playoff contenders and, with a generous point spread in their favor, especially at home, they present an enticing option.

The Connecticut Sun, despite some recent stumbles, remain a force, especially on the road. The Washington Mystics, in stark contrast, have been floundering. Their inability to cover and their overall performance trajectory make them a risky bet. If the Sun's line dips below -3, it might be time to back them heavily.

Lastly, the Dallas Wings are in formidable form, riding a 3-game winning streak and currently holding the fourth seed. Their offensive prowess, with 90+ points in three consecutive games, is noteworthy. They face the Minnesota Lynx, a team they've historically had the upper hand against, including a staggering 107-67 victory last month. The Lynx's inconsistent form this season, especially against top-tier teams, makes the Wings the favorable pick, especially given their recent history.

In the ever-evolving world of sports betting, understanding the nuances, tracking line movements, and analyzing team form can be the difference between a winning and losing bet. Today's WNBA slate offers a plethora of opportunities for the discerning bettor. The question is, where will you place your chips?

MODEL Bets: Atlanta +16.5, Minnesota +5.5

Anthony's leans:

Good luck

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