Anthony P's WNBA Model Aug 15, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR AUG 15, 2023

In the world of sports betting, it's not just about the numbers but the narrative. And today's clash between the New York Liberty and the Las Vegas Aces promises a tantalizing tale, steeped in revenge, resilience, and recent results.

For those privy to the discussions in my discord channel, you might recall the initial buzz around this game. The uncertainty surrounding Clark's availability for the Aces still lingers, adding an extra layer of unpredictability to an already complex equation. However, the context leading to this game might offer some clarity for prospective betters.

Vegas hasn't been a welcoming city for New York, especially if you consider their track record of covering the spread. Compounding this is the specter of a brutal 38-point defeat they suffered there on August 6th. The Liberty's six-game winning streak stands testimony to their renewed vigor, with their defense becoming the unsung hero. In four of their last five games, they've kept the total under by a remarkable 20-point average and allowed 67 points per game.

With this winning streak, the Liberty now finds themselves just three games behind the coveted top seed in the WNBA. A commendable feat when you consider they're netting 88.5 points on 45.7 percent shooting while conceding 80.7 points on 42 percent shooting.

However, standing tall and almost imposing in their way are the Las Vegas Aces. Their recent form can at best be described as scorching, with a victory in 12 of their last 13 outings. Since June 11, they've tasted defeat only twice. These impressive figures are underpinned by their offensive prowess, averaging 94 points with a near 50 percent shooting accuracy. Their defense is equally solid, allowing 42.4 percent shooting.

While I was personally leaning toward the Liberty, the trends in this matchup are hard to ignore. The Liberty's 1-9 ATS in their last ten visits to Vegas and 8-22 ATS over the last 30 encounters are statistics that hang heavy. Their recent away form further accentuates this, going 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. In contrast, the Aces seem unstoppable at home, boasting a 5-0 ATS in their recent home games and a 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Analytically, while the Aces may emerge victoriously, the Liberty has the potential to cover the 7-point spread. Yes, the Aces have the edge on both offense and defense, but the rejuvenated Liberty are not too far behind, especially in their defensive endeavors. The Liberty's recent domination over the Aces adds another layer of intrigue to this narrative. However, the home advantage and a desire to set the record straight after their last meeting might propel the Aces to a resounding performance.

As a bettor, one is often torn between the empirical evidence of statistics and the gut feeling that comes from understanding the game's essence. While the model and the Liberty's recent form make a compelling case, the combined might of trends and the Aces' motivation make it hard to side against them. This game might be one where the heart and the head pull in different directions. And sometimes, that's the most exhilarating part of sports betting. I will sit this one out and just enjoy it.

MODEL Bets: New York +7

Anthony's leans:

Good luck

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