Anthony P's WNBA Model Aug 12, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR AUG 12, 2023

After the bitter pill of Chicago's unexpected performance last Friday, sports bettors might be wondering where to place their chips this Saturday. If you're one of them, you might want to take a closer look at our predictive model's insights, which are suggesting a peculiar angle: the books might have both favorites wrong.

Atlanta's positioning in the model raised eyebrows. Our model slated Atlanta to emerge as a 2.5 points favorite on the road. Contrary to this, the line opened at a pick, swaying a significant 2 points in LA's direction. A similarly perplexing situation unfolded with the Sun. The book pegged them at -1.5, opening the line at -2. As the day progressed, the line tilted towards the Wings at -3, only to retract to -2 closer late afternoon. It's tempting to infer that the shift towards Dallas was due to whispers about Bonner's absence, but here's the twist: she's likely to take the court on Saturday.

So, how should we interpret these games?

Coming off a less than stellar performance against Phoenix, the Sun aims to reassert their dominance on the road against the Wings. If past trends hold weight, Connecticut looks promising; they have successfully covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 matches. When in Dallas, they've come through in five straight games. The Wings, meanwhile, seem to be on a shaky ground, having stumbled in covering four of their last five games. Their track record against the Sun isn't stellar either, having only managed to cover once in their last four encounters.

On the West Coast, the Atlanta Dream, still stinging from a narrow defeat to the Seattle Storm, will be challenging the LA Sparks, who are riding a two-win momentum. What's crucial here is the health perspective: Atlanta enters the arena without notable injury concerns, while LA still appears to be juggling with their injury list. Historically, Dream seems to have an edge, especially in LA, boasting a 15-4 ATS record in their past 19 confrontations. Despite LA's recent triumphs, their inconsistency on Saturdays (0-3-1 ATS) could be a concern for bettors.

Another interesting dimension here is the 'total' angle. Both teams have been trending towards the 'UNDER' recently. Atlanta's past five games and LA's seven out of the last nine have leaned in that direction. This isn't a mere coincidence; LA's occasional offensive droughts, averaging a score of 78.9 points with a 41.9% shooting accuracy, reiterates this stance. Historically too, when the Dream hit the road against LA, 12 out of the last 16 encounters saw the UNDER prevail.


MODEL Bets: Connecticut +2, Atlanta +2

Anthony's leans: Atlanta under 163

Good luck

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