Val’s Big Payday Parlay June 9th 2023

Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +722

Arizona Dbacks -141

The Dbacks game versus the Nats was rained out yesterday so M. Kelly gets moved to today's start versus the Tigers. As mentioned in yesterday's write up, Kelly is a beast on the road with a 1.63 ERA and the Dbacks winning all 5 of his road starts. Tiger's starter M. Lorenzen has pitched well this season (3.21 ERA) but the reality is that he's a below average starter at best as his career numbers have proven. Regression is on its way for him, the Tigers are in a rut having lost 6 straight and I expect those struggles to continue tonight versus Kelly.

Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +163

The Twins losers of 5 straight are in Toronto for a weekend series with the Jays. The Twins offense has been non existent during this losing streak scoring a combined 6 runs. Your offense is bound to disappear when dealing with injuries to three starters in Buxton, Gallo & Gordon and C. Correa batting .210. Even with S. Gray on the mound for the Twins, he would have to be almost untouchable for the Twins to have a chance to win. The Jays just finished taking 3 of 4 from the Astros and like them to carry that momentum into this game.

Denver Nuggets -165

The Nuggets regained home court advantage in the NBA finals with their G3 victory over the Heat. I don't want to simplify things in analyzing a game, but the recipe is not that difficult to understand for the Nuggets. In G2 Joker had 41 points and 4 assists and the Nuggets lost by 3 points, in G1 & G3 he had 59 points combined but was able to dish out a total of 24 assists and the Nuggets won both games by double digits. If Joker is able to get the secondary players like J. Murray & Co. open looks and they're able to knock down their shots the Nuggets look unstoppable in these playoffs. I like them heading back to Denver up 3-1 in this series.

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