Val’s Big Payday Parlay June 6th 2023

Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +613

Minnesota Twins/Tampa Rays O7.5 -111

The Twins and Rays start a 3 games series in Tampa when L. Varland faces Z. Eflin. Even though both starters have an ERA under 3.60 I think this total is too low, Varland has made 7 starts this season and has given 3 runs or more in 5 of them. Eflin was solid at the beginning of the season but has shown cracks in the armor of late giving up 3 ERs or more in 4 of his last 5 starts. Also Eflin has received an excellent amount of run support this season and we have the makings of a high scoring game.

Cleveland Guardians -103

The Guardians host the Red Sox tonight, it will be James Paxton versus S. Bieber on the mound. The Red Sox are struggling right now having lost 3 straight and 6 of their last 8, manager J. Cora expressed his displeasure with his teams defensive play over the weekend, which has cost them several games this season. From a numbers perspective, Bieber is not having a great season, however, his home splits are encouraging for this matchup as his home ERA is 2.49 with the Guardians winning 3 of his 4 starts. Paxton is still trying to ease his way back into form after such a long layoff, I like the Guardians tonight.

Miami Marlins -157

The Marlins have taken advantage of the weakest teams (A's & Royals) in MLB to put together a nice 4 game winning streak. I like that to continue tonight when veteran Z. Greinke takes on J. Luzardo. I've mentioned it in several write ups since the start of the season, Greinke just can't get it done on the road anymore, you'd think a veteran with his pedigree that it wouldn't be the case. However, Greinke's road ERA is 5.52 and the Royals have lost 5 of his 6 road starts. I like the Miami to continue their hot streak and take this to 5 straight wins,

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