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Val's Big Payday Parlay July 10th 2024


Val's Big Payday Parlay, pays +748

Atlanta Braves -1.5 +122 & Atlanta Braves/Arizona DBacks O9 even

The Braves and DBacks play G3 of this four game series tonight, the Braves have won the first 2 games and look to make it three straight when C. Morton faces S. Cecconi on the mound. I mentioned how bad Cecconi was at home (11.65 ERA) in a write up at the end of June when we played against him versus the A's is a game that ended 9-4 in our favor. He hasn't given us any reason to believe his struggles will not continue tonight, especially versus a quality offensive team like the Braves. Morton for the Braves is having an ok season with an ERA of 3.96, which is slightly below his standard of recent years. With the way Cecconi is pitching, the Braves could get to close to this total on their own, I like the Braves on the runline and over the total here.

NY Yankees/Tampa Bay Rays O8 -110

The struggling Yanks continue their series with the Rays tonight when M. Stroman faces Z. Eflin on the mound, the Yanks have the worst record in baseball since June 15th and that is saying a lot considering how bad the Rockies and White Sox are. Stroman was really hoping that the calendar changing from June to July that he could turn the page, however, his struggles continued into July. His June ERA was 5.13 and July didn't start well as he gave up 5 runs in 5 IP in a loss to the Reds, for him it has been 5 of 6 starts of 3 ER or more as he's only gotten into the 6th inning once. Eflin unlike Stroman was hoping June could continue as his ERA was 3.49, however, July didn't start well as he was hit around by the Royals in a game that finished with 18 runs. B. Walsh is behind the plate calling balls and strikes and 62.5% of his game have gone over the total. I like the over in this game. 

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