Val's Australian Open Plays - Men's Finals


We sweep and go 2-0 again last night or Saturday morning whichever way you want to call it for another +2.77 units. A. Sabalenka broke through and won her first major title in a 3 set match. We called the over 2.5 sets at plus money and over 23.5 games played. In the early morning EST we have a nice match between N. Djokovic and S. Tsitsipas, my analysis is below.

Record 20-21 -7.51 units

Best bet

Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets -214 (Start time 3:30am EST)

Tomorrow morning's final between Novak Djokovic and Stefanos Tsitsipas should be a nice one to watch. The winner of the match will take over the number ranking on the ATP Tour passing the injured C. Alcarez. Djokovic has been totally dominant throughout the whole tournament not even allowing his opponents a thought that they were ever in the match and had a chance at victory. Tsitsipas has also played well but has had moments where he has lost focused and it has caused him issues. I watched his last match versus K. Khachanov from beginning to end in the semis and there were several instances where he broke Khachanov's serve and then turned around and was broken himself in his next service game to even things up. That will definitely not work versus Djokovic and will be his demise if that is the case tomorrow morning. These two have played each other 12 times in the past with Djokovic winning the last 9 matches, the last time Tsitsipas beat Djokovic was in 2019 in Shanghai. Tsitsipas has played Djokovic much tougher on clay surfaces but Djokovic has dominated on hard court. I believe Djokovic will win this in straight sets but will pay the extra juice and back him -1.5 sets as a little insurance.

Risk 4.28 units for 2 units

Additional play

Novak Djokovic/Stefanos Tsitsipas U38.5 games -114 risk .50 units (Start time 3:30am EST)

GL tonight

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