Statsational WTA French Open Model May 30
![John Alesia](https://cdn.sharp.app/user/8925479b-c103-4c68-9e7c-6a6d4c880045.jpg)
John Alesia
We will add new sports and models as we continue to build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.I will post my models for upcoming Tennis matchups as often as possible. Be on the lookout during the day because there may be multiple tournaments worldwide.Reading the model is very simple. I have the line posted at one of the sportsbooks. I will post which book the lines were taken from each day. I will then show what my model thinks the line should be. The last column is the most important. That is the edge I see based on the difference in my line and the bettable line. The natural reaction would be to be all lines with an edge. I tend to be slightly conservative and look for a 5% edge or greater to make a wager. With tennis (and soccer), I tend to be a bit leery of very large edges. 15-20% or more can mean there is something the model is not picking up, perhaps an injury or some pretty sharp bettors pushing the line to the side we are showing as a high negative edge. This could be a good fade opportunity. That is, betting against the player we show to have an edge.You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a great edge losing often. On matches where we see an edge, but the line is very high, I sometimes like to bet those on the spread line. Preferably sets, but you may also look at the game spread line. The reason for this is a high unlikelihood that the big dog wins the match, but there may be value in betting on the spread. You can split the bet up and do both as well.Today's lines are taken from Draftkings.
If these are hard to read, join the discord. I post them in there as well.
May 30
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Elena Rybakina | -1400 | -1862 | 2% |
Brenda Fruhvirtova | 750 | 1862 | -7% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Lucia Bronzetti | 400 | 1070 | -11% |
Ons Jabeur | -550 | -1070 | 7% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Rebeka Masarova | 310 | 312 | 0% |
Cori Gauff | -425 | -312 | -5% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Mirra Andreeva | -1400 | -270 | -20% |
Alison Riske Amritraj | 800 | 270 | 16% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Lin Zhu | 205 | 226 | -2% |
Lauren Davis | -255 | -226 | -3% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Lesia Tsurenko | 245 | 100 | 21% |
Barbora Krejcikova | -310 | -100 | -26% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Anhelina Kalinina | -285 | -424 | 7% |
Diane Parry | 220 | 424 | -12% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Xin Yu Wang | 270 | 315 | -3% |
Marie Bouzkova | -340 | -315 | -1% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Arantxa Rus | -150 | -113 | -7% |
Julia Grabher | 120 | 113 | 2% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Sorana Cirstea | -265 | -163 | -11% |
Jasmine Paolini | 210 | 163 | 6% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Victoria Azarenka | -205 | -108 | -15% |
Bianca Andreescu | 165 | 108 | 10% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Olga Danilovic | -425 | -107 | -29% |
Kateryna Baindl | 330 | 107 | 25% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Clara Burel | 180 | 329 | -12% |
Sara Sorribes Tormo | -225 | -329 | 7% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Iga Swiatek | -8000 | -2179 | -3% |
Cristina Bucsa | 2000 | 2179 | 0% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Selena Janicijevic | 135 | 350 | -20% |
Oceane Dodin | -165 | -350 | 15% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Linda Noskova | -140 | 118 | -12% |
Danka Kovinic | 115 | -118 | 8% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Petra Martic | -140 | -162 | 3% |
Shelby Rogers | 115 | 162 | -8% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Rebecca Peterson | -160 | -172 | 2% |
Fiona Ferro | 130 | 172 | -7% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Ylena In Albon | 125 | 241 | -15% |
Claire Liu | -150 | -241 | 11% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Karolina Muchova | -550 | -388 | -5% |
Nadia Podoroska | 390 | 388 | 0% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Camila Giorgi | 215 | 225 | -1% |
Jessica Pegula | -275 | -225 | -4% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Sara Errani | 390 | 290 | 5% |
Irina Camelia Begu | -525 | -290 | -10% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Erika Andreeva | 245 | 361 | -7% |
Emma Navarro | -310 | -361 | 3% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Iryna Shymanovich | 1600 | 1863 | -1% |
Aryna Sabalenka | -8000 | -1863 | -4% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Magdalena Frech | -145 | -129 | -3% |
Kamilla Rakhimova | 120 | 129 | -2% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
---|---|---|---|
Leylah Fernandez | -110 | 104 | -3% |
Clara Tauson | -110 | -104 | -1% |
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