Statsational ATP French Open Model June 1
![John Alesia](https://cdn.sharp.app/user/8925479b-c103-4c68-9e7c-6a6d4c880045.jpg)
John Alesia
We will add new sports and models as we continue to build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.I will post my models for upcoming Tennis matchups as often as possible. Be on the lookout during the day because there may be multiple tournaments worldwide.Reading the model is very simple. I have the line posted at one of the sportsbooks. I will post which book the lines were taken from each day. I will then show what my model thinks the line should be. The last column is the most important. That is the edge I see based on the difference in my line and the bettable line. The natural reaction would be to be all lines with an edge. I tend to be slightly conservative and look for a 5% edge or greater to make a wager. With tennis (and soccer), I tend to be a bit leery of very large edges. 15-20% or more can mean there is something the model is not picking up, perhaps an injury or some pretty sharp bettors pushing the line to the side we are showing as a high negative edge. This could be a good fade opportunity. That is, betting against the player we show to have an edge.You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a great edge losing often. On matches where we see an edge, but the line is very high, I sometimes like to bet those on the spread line. Preferably sets, but you may also look at the game spread line. The reason for this is a high unlikelihood that the big dog wins the match, but there may be value in betting on the spread. You can split the bet up and do both as well.Today's lines are taken from Draftkings.
If these are hard to read, join the discord. I post them in there as well.
June 1
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 110 | -101 | 3% |
Alex De Minaur | -130 | 101 | -7% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Yoshihito Nishioka | -260 | -331 | 5% |
Max Purcell | 210 | 331 | -9% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Borna Coric | -235 | -312 | 6% |
Pedro Cachin | 190 | 312 | -10% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Guido Pella | 215 | -153 | 29% |
Thiago Seyboth Wild | -270 | 153 | -33% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Thiago Agustin Tirante | 135 | 333 | -19% |
Zhizhen Zhang | -165 | -333 | 15% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 200 | 371 | -12% |
Andrea Vavassori | -250 | -371 | 7% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Giulio Zeppieri | 700 | 2138 | -8% |
Casper Ruud | -1200 | -2138 | 3% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Jannik Sinner | -1200 | -952 | -2% |
Daniel Altmaier | 750 | 952 | -2% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Emil Ruusuvuori | 180 | 252 | -7% |
Grigor Dimitrov | -220 | -252 | 3% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Aslan Karatsev | -115 | 170 | -17% |
Frances Tiafoe | -105 | -170 | 12% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Tommy Paul | 105 | 156 | -10% |
Nicolas Jarry | -130 | -156 | 4% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Marcos Giron | 170 | 204 | -4% |
Jiri Lehecka | -210 | -204 | -1% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Arthur Rinderknech | 500 | 423 | 2% |
Taylor Fritz | -800 | -423 | -8% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Francisco Cerundolo | -195 | -131 | -9% |
Yannick Hanfmann | 160 | 131 | 5% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Alexander Zverev | -500 | -235 | -13% |
Alex Molcan | 360 | 235 | 8% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Holger Rune | -1400 | -506 | -10% |
Gael Monfils | 750 | 506 | 5% |
Players | Actual Line | Sharp App Line | EDGE |
Diego Schwartzman | 550 | 964 | -6% |
Stefanos Tsitsipas | -800 | -964 | 2% |
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