The Sharp Report for September 25, 2023

This article will be updated throughout the day as I get updates from the sportsbook that I have access to. 

Each section will be explained below, and the time will be added each time the Sharp Report is updated. You can use this information to make your own picks or tail the hot sections. Historically, Sharp bets, Whale plays, Model plays, and square have done very well. Keep in mind that this information comes from a sharp / market maker sportsbook, and the squares (public) playing there are more experienced than regular joe's betting on retail books therefore, you can find success in tailing the public. 


You can find the Sharp Report performance tracker here:

I wouldn't wanna be a Cowboy and wake up this morning and realize that what happened yesterday was real and it wasn't a dream. The Vikings are 0-3. We have a huge under 8.5 wins bet on them. It looked easy for Cleveland, Jax looked bad, it was a decent game in NY, nail bitter in GB and the Dolphins are still scoring points this morning.

I spoke about the Lions all week but didn't pull the trigger. Anyway, I'll stop talking NFL, and I'll do a week 3 recap today.

The Whale went perfect yesterday winning all 3 picks. He's 6-1 last 3 days and 30-31 -15 G's for September. Fading the book in the NFL went 4-0 and it's 11-5 for the season. The sharps are really struggling in the NFL. They went 2-3 yesterday and they are 3-12 for the season.

We got a small MLB slate today but look out for some picks nonetheless. Also, keep an eye on some free articles on the app and sign up to PRO if you want all the picks and info!

GL today


Last update: 4:30 PM (EST) IN PROGRESS 

Sharp money plays:

These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.


MLB:



CFB:
OREGON STATE -2 9/29 9PM
JAXSONVILLE STATE -6 9/28 8PM
VIRGINIA TECH UNDER 44.5 9/30 8PM
TEXAS TECH UNDER 56.5 9/30 330PM
TENNESEE UNDER 63.5 9/30 730PM

NFL:
KC - 7 & -9
TENNESSE +1.5 & -1
MINNESOTA -1 & -3
DALLAS UNDER 42.5

NBA/WNBA:
NEW YORK -8.5 9/26

Sportsbook liabilities:

Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


MLB:


CFB:
PHILADELPHIA OVER 44.5
CINCINNATI OVER 45.5
COLORADO +24.5 9/30
UTAH +2.5 9/29
CLEMSON -6.5 9/30
AUBURN +15 9/30
NOTRE DAME -5.5 9/30
ARIZONA +17.5 9/30

NFL:
NY JETS +9
NEW ORLEANS -3
CHICAGO +3.5

Square top positions:

It is a strategy to bet against the public however as mentioned above, these regular joes are pretty good. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the course of the day.


MLB:
SAN DIEGO -116
HOUSTON +112

CFB:
USC -27.5 9/3012PM
SYRACUSE +6.5 9/30 12PM
GEORGIA -14.5 9/30 330PM
WASHINGTON -17.5 9/30 10PM

NFL:
KC -9.5
DENVER -3.5
NEW ENGLAND +7
MINNESOTA -3

NBA/WNBA:


Whale plays:

The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.

MLB/NFL:
ARIZONA -120 35U
EAGLES -5 35U
SEATTLE -122 35U


The top model plays:

This section covers all the highest EV plays straight from my NHL, NBA, and MLB models

MLB/NFL:
ASTROS +110 9.20% EV
GIANTS +102 6.05% EV

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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