The Sharp Report for September 24, 2023

This article will be updated throughout the day as I get updates from the sportsbook that I have access to. 

Each section will be explained below, and the time will be added each time the Sharp Report is updated. You can use this information to make your own picks or tail the hot sections. Historically, Sharp bets, Whale plays, Model plays, and square have done very well. Keep in mind that this information comes from a sharp / market maker sportsbook, and the squares (public) playing there are more experienced than regular joe's betting on retail books therefore, you can find success in tailing the public. 

You can find the Sharp Report performance tracker here:

Yesterday was another crazy day in sports. The Pirates came back from a 9-run deficit and took a very important away from the Reds. We had a crazy ending in the Notre Dame game while FSU took in OT in Clemson.

Sharps are flat in CFB for the season and went 5-3 yesterday. Fading the book was also a good approach.

It's all about the NFL today.

GL everyone!


Last update: 9:20 AM (EST) IN PROGRESS 

Sharp money plays:

These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.


MLB:


CFB:
TEXAS -18.5 9/30 330PM
DUKE UNDER 51.5 9/30 730PM

NFL:
NEW ENGLAND -2
DALLAS -12.5
MIAMI UNDER 49
ATLANTA OVER 46
CLEVELAND UNDER 40
TAMPA BAY UNDER 46

NBA/WNBA:
DALLAS +10.5 9/24
NEW YORK -6 9/24

Sportsbook liabilities:

Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


MLB:
TAMPA BAY -119
MILWAUKEE -130
WHITE SOX +132
BALTIMORE -112

CFB:
COLORADO +24.5
UTAH +2.5

NFL:
ARIZONA +12.5
NY JETS +3
JACKSONVILLE -9
BALTIMORE -7.5

Square top positions:

It is a strategy to bet against the public however as mentioned above, these regular joes are pretty good. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the course of the day.


MLB:
TORONTO -101
BOSTON -150

CFB:
USC -27.5 9/3012PM
LSU -4.5 9/30 6PM

NFL:
NEW ENGLAND -1.5
BUFFALO -6.5
DALLAS -12
TENNESSEE +3.5
SEATTLE -6
LA RAMS +3

NBA/WNBA:
LAS VEGAS -10 9/24

Whale plays:

The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.

MLB/NFL:
PATRIOTS -2.5 50U
SEAHAWKS -4.5 40U
BROWNS -3 40U

The top model plays:

This section covers all the highest EV plays straight from my NHL, NBA, and MLB models

MLB/NFL:
JAYS +102 7.06%EV
MARLINS +115 7.50%EV
PIRATES +156 22.88%EV

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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