The Sharp Report for September 21, 2023

This article will be updated throughout the day as I get updates from the sportsbook that I have access to. 

Each section will be explained below, and the time will be added each time the Sharp Report is updated. You can use this information to make your own picks or tail the hot sections. Historically, Sharp bets, Whale plays, Model plays, and square have done very well. Keep in mind that this information comes from a sharp / market maker sportsbook, and the squares (public) playing there are more experienced than regular joe's betting on retail books therefore, you can find success in tailing the public. 

You can find the Sharp Report performance tracker here:

@MTLKID hit a +800 parlay last night! We all know what happens when he gets on a heater!

Sharps came alive with a 3-1 day. Their only loss was on the Cubs w/ Steele pitching. WTF right?

The Whale had a big 3-1 day and winning 100k. He got lucky with Houston and Minnesota! Is the cold September streak over for him?

The model went 2-2 however added 0.65u. We have some football tonight! The team has over 30 units won for the season and we are looking for more!!!

GL


Last update: 4:00 PM (EST) IN PROGRESS 

Sharp money plays:

These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.


MLB:
NEW YORK UNDER 7

CFB:
FSU +2.5 9/23 12PM
PSU -10.5 9/23 730PM
KANSAS STATE -6.5 9/23 8PM
AIR FORCE -3 9/22 1030PM
UNC -7 9/23 8PM
COLORADO OVER 71.5 9/23 330PM
BOISE STATE OVER 43.5 9/22 1030PM
IOWA OVER 40 9/23 730PM
UMASS UNDER 49 9/23 330PM
WASHINGTON UNDER 61 9/23 1030PM

NFL:
NY GIANTS OVER 44.5
NEW ENGLAND -2
MINNESOTA PK
MIAMI UNDER 49
ATLANTA OVER 46
CLEVELAND UNDER 40

NBA/WNBA:
DALLAS +10.5 9/24
NEW YORK -6 9/24

Sportsbook liabilities:

Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


MLB:
ST LOUIS -110
PITTSBURGH +140
NY YANKEES -140
CLEVELAND +132

CFB:
CLEMSON +2.5 9/23 12PM
ALABAMA -7 9/23 330PM
WISCONSIN -7 9/22 7PM
PENN STATE -14.5 9/23 730PM
BOISE STATE -7 9/22

NFL:
NY GIANTS +10 9/21
WASHINGTON +6.5 9/24
ARIZONA +12.5
NY JETS +3
JACKSONVILLE -9
BALTIMORE -7.5
CLEVELAND -3.5

Square top positions:

It is a strategy to bet against the public however as mentioned above, these regular joes are pretty good. In this section, you will find picks that the public is heavy on. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the course of the day.


MLB:
MILWAUKEE -105

CFB:
NC STATE -10 9/22 730PM
FLORIDA STATE -2.5 9/23 12PM
KENTUCKY -14 9/23 12PM
SAN DIEGO STATE +7 9/22 1030PM
OKLAHOMA -14.5 9/23 12PM
RICE -2.5 9/23 4PM

NFL:
SAN FRANCISCO -10.5 9/21
NEW ENGLAND -1.5 9/24
BUFFALO -6.5
MIAMI -6.5
DALLAS -12
TENNESSEE +3.5
SEATTLE -6

NBA/WNBA:
LAS VEGAS -10 9/24

Whale plays:

The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.

MLB/NFL:
CUBS -157 50U
TNF OVER 43.5 35U

The top model plays:

This section covers all the highest EV plays straight from my NHL, NBA, MLB models

MLB/NFL:
BLUE JAYS +121 7%EV
PIRATES +146 5.78%EV

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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