The Sharp Report for November 27, 2023

The Sharp report is a very easy tool to follow. All the sections are described below. The strategy is simple. Follow the sharp money, fade the book, and square plays.

Click here for the tracker. All the plays are graded and tracked on a daily basis.

Yesterdays recap:

I took a little break from handicapping games yesterday and settled with 2 props (It's Kyren William Day!) and both cashed in easily. Thanksgiving was draining with all the sports going on!

We had 1 mega-sharp play yesterday and it was a loss. Many anticipated a high-scoring game and the movement on the total also indicated that moving from 44.5 to 49 at Betonline. Overall the sharps lost 2.23 units for the day.

The book and squares were also on the losing side however it was less than 0.5 unit.

The NFL model started on fire with wins on the Titans, Falcons, and Jags however lost to the Bengals and Browns.

The Whale 1-3 and lost 65k.

Today we have a satisfying slate in the NHL, NBA, and CBB. I am not expecting a thriller with MNF but it's better than nothing.

Last update: 5:20 PM (EST)

Sharp money plays:

+90.44 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020
These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.

NHL:
BOSTON -230
BOSTON OVER 6.5

NBA:
WASHINGTON +3

CBB:
UCONN -31
RUTGERS -14
TCU -35
UTAH TECH -3.5
ELON UNDER 147
NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER 148.5
FRESNO UNDER 144
NORTH DAKOTA STATE OVER 132.5

CFB:
WASHINGTON UNDER 68.5
OKLAHOMA STATE OVER 54
BOISE STATE OVER 57.5
NAVY UNDER 31.5

NFL:
KC -6.5
LA CHARGER -5
INDIANAPOLIS OVER 41
NEW ENGLAND UNDER 41.5
TAMPA UNDER 38.5
NY JETS UNDER 35

MEGA SHARP:
FRESNO UNDER 144

Sportsbook liabilities:

-247 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020
Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


NHL:
TAMPA BAY +120
OTTAWA +110
CALGARY -105

NBA:
UTAH +5.5
DENVER +6
LA LAKERS +5

CBB:
UTAH TECH -3.5
TROY +6

CFB:
LIBERTY -11
FLORIDA STATE -5.5
TOLEDO -8
TULANE -4.5

NFL:
PHILADELPHIA +1.5 12/3
SEATTLE +7.5
PITTSBURGH -6
DENVER +3
NEW ORLEANS +3.5

Square top positions:

-182.77 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022
It is a strategy to bet against the public and these regular joes are pretty good to fade. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the course of the day.


NHL:
FLORIDA -130
COLORADO -136

NBA:
INDIANA -12.5
NEW ORLEANS -5.5
DETROIT -3

CBB:
OAKLAND -15
RUTGERS -15.5
NORTHERN ILLINOIS +13
FORDHAM -12

CFB:
WASHINGTON +9.5
SMU +4

NFL:
DALLAS -8 11/30
SF -2
DETROIT -3.5

Whale plays:

478K SINCE JAN 2022
The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.

WASHINGTON STATE -13 CBB 35U
XAVIER OVER 151 35U
VEGAS -105 35U

Model plays:

-14.58 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022
Hand-picked best EV bets from Anthony P's betting models

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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