The Sharp Report for November 15, 2023

The Sharp report is a very easy tool to follow. All the sections are described below. The strategy is simple. Follow the sharp money, fade the book, and square plays.

Click here for the tracker. All the plays are graded and tracked on a daily basis.

Yesterdays recap:

The sharps are on an epic run. They have 2-3 per year and it really drives your bankroll to the next leave. It takes discipline and patience, something that ~5% of overall bettors have. In the last 10 days, the sharps returned 34.12 units to their BR. In the last 7, 23.39 units and 8.28 in the last 3 days.

NHL, CBB and CFB have been good to the sharps in Nov. Combined, they are up 30.69 units (led by CBB at +16.96)

The book is down 12 units and that is also good news for the faithful faders! The squares are flat for the month while the model and the whale have returned a small profit.

The Whale was on a run and hit a wall yesterday going 0-3. The Mega sharp plays went 2-0. We were a little concerned with the line movement but there was no drama yesterday. The megas sharp plays have been introduced on the 12th and they are 4-2. In that section of the sharp report, you will find plays where there is a minimum of 4 sharps on the same side and obviously no sharp interest on the opposite side.

GL today

Last update: 4:50 PM (EST)

Sharp money plays:

+90.44 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020
These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.

NHL:
EDMONTON -173
EDMONTON UNDER 6.5
VANCOUVER UNDER 6.5
PHILADELPHIA OVER 6
ANAHEIM OVER 6.5

NBA:
LA LAKERS -1
WASHINGTON +6
TORONTO +5
PHILADELPHIA +4
MINNESOTA +6
ATLANTA +1
NY KNICK OVER 229.5
ORLANDO OVER 214.5

CBB:
LONGWOOD -6.5 8PM
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN +12.5
SEATTLE -11
STONY +16
RUTGERS -8.5
CORNELL +2.5
ECU UNDER 144
LOYOLA MARYLAND UNDER 142
STONY OVER 138.5
SE LOUISIANA OVER 155.5
SEATTLE UNDER 145.5

CFB:
BUFFALO +9.5 11/15
HOUSTON +7.5 11/18 4
MIAMI FLORIDA +1 18/23 12
UVA +4.5 11/18 530
ODU +7 11/18 6
SANFORD +7
FLORIDA ATLANTIC UNDER 48.5
NAVY UNDER 34
MEMPHIS UNDER 67.5
CHARLOTTE UNDER 47.5
SOUTH ALABAMA UNDER 49.5
ARKANSAS UNDER 50.5

NFL:
LA CHARGERS -3
HOUSTON -3.5
CAROLINA +11
KC UNDER 46.5
PITTSBURGH OVER 37.5
NY GIANTS OVER 36
CHICAGO OVER 45.5
DALLAS OVER 41.5

Sportsbook liabilities:

-247 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020
Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


NHL:
VANCOUVER -161

NBA:
ATLANTA +1.5
MILWAUKEE -1.5
LA LAKERS -1.5
PHILADELPHIA +5
CHICAGO -1.5

CBB:
UTAH VALLEY +6.5
LOUISVILLE -17.5
VCU -5.5
DENVER +3.5
NICHOLLS STATE -2.5
CANISIUS +10

CFB:
TENNESSEE +9.5 11/18 330
CLEMSON -6.5 11/18 330
ILLINOIS +3.5 11/18 330
UTAH +1 11/18 230PM
WASHINGTON +2.5 11/18
USC -6.5 11/18

NFL:
CLEVELAND -4
WASHINGTON -9.5
LAS VEGAS +12
BALTIMORE +3.5
CHICAGO +9
HOUSTON -4

Square top positions:

-182.77 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022
It is a strategy to bet against the public and these regular joes are pretty good to fade. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the course of the day.


NHL:

NBA:
DALLAS -5
TORONTO +1
SACRAMENTO +1.5

CBB:
GEORGETOWN +9.5
DENVER +3
GEORGE MASON -2
CLEVELAND STATE -10
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +2
TEXAS -20

CFB:
MIAMI OHIO -9 11/15 7
PITTSBURGH -3 11/16 7
GEORGIA -10 11/18 730
MICHIGAN -19
IOWA STATE +7.5
RUTGERS +20.5
AUBURN -24

NFL:
CINCINNATI +4 11/16
NY GIANTS +10
DETROIT -10
DALLAS -10.5
MIAMI -13
ARIZONA +4
SF -11.5

Whale plays:

478K SINCE JAN 2022
The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.

VCU OVER 133 30U
SACRAMENTO PK 35U
ORLANDO +1.5 25U
SE MISSOURI STATE -2.5 30U
PHOENIX SUNS -6 35U

Model plays:

-14.58 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022
Hand-picked best EV bets from Anthony P's betting models

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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