The Sharp Report for March 30, 2023

This article will be updated throughout the day as I get updates from the sportsbook I can access.
 
Each section will be explained below, and the time will be added when the Sharp Report is updated. You can use this information to make your own picks or tail the hot sections. Historically, Sharp bets, Whale plays, Model plays, and square have done very well. Keep in mind that this information comes from a sharp / market maker sportsbook, and the squares (public) playing there are more experienced than regular joe's betting on retail books; therefore, you can find success in tailing the public. 



You can find the Sharp Report performance tracker Here

Last update: 5:00 PM (EST) IN PROGRESS 

I was hoping the sharp plays would go on a run after a 7-4 day on Tuesday but NO we got a nice slap in the face.

We have the fades at the book and squares that saved the day going 5-2 and 2-1.

MLB stars today!! Last year the sharps had a crazy start and cashed out 20 units in April. From there it was downhill and sharps finished the season with -20 units.

@benhendricks3 Broke down last year's tracker and shared some analysis:

Still trying to decide how I want to play MLB this year. Looks like the book was profitable last year in MLB and has been so far this spring. Sharps weren't very well last year and are also down in sprint training, but fading the squares was profitable last year and has been thus far in spring training too. Early signs tell me I'm just fading squares.



Sharp money plays:

These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.


NBA:

NHL:
CHICAGO +135
TAMPA BAY OVER 6

MLB:
MILWAUKEE -140
MIAMI +115
SAN FRANCISCO +150
PHILADELPHIA +120
KANSAS CITY +136
WHITE SOX +125

CBB:

Sportsbook liabilities:

Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


NBA:

NHL:
ST LOUIS -137
NEW JERSEY -135

MLB:
MILWAUKEE -140
MIAMI +115
SAN FRANCISCO +150
PHILADELPHIA +120
KANSAS CITY +136
WHITE SOX +125

CBB:


Square top positions:

This section will find picks that the public is heavy on. Even though they can have their hot streaks, It is a strategy to bet against the public most of the time. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to gather enough data throughout the day.


NBA:
DENVER OVER 228.5

NHL:
NY RANGERS +123
OTTAWA -150
ST LOUIS -139

MLB:
MINNESOTA -137
NY METS -115
BOSTON -122
CINCINNATI -133
HOUSTON -134

CBB:

Whale plays: 

The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.


NHL, NBA, CBB:
CINCINNATI -133 15U
NY YANKEES -170 15U


The top model plays:

This section covers all the highest EV plays from my NHL, NBA, and MLB models.

NHL, NBA, CBB:
NY RANGERS UNDER 6.5
BOSTON +2.5 NBA
BOSTON -120 MLB
CUBS OVER 7
SEATTLE OVER 6.5



GOOD LUCK TODAY

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