The Sharp Report for December 11, 2023

The Sharp report is a very easy tool to follow. All the sections are described below. The strategy is simple. Follow the sharp money, fade the book, and square plays.

Click here for the tracker. All the plays are graded and tracked daily.

Yesterdays recap:

The Sharps were flat again on Sunday however the only Mega Sharp play cashed. It got a little sweaty at the end. Mega sharp plays are on an 8-3 run and 15-7 for Dec.

After an incredible Saturday for the book, it was 4-6 Sunday and lost close to 2.50 units. The Whale went 1-1 however made 10k. The best model plays went 0-2. The Lions felt like a trap but for those following the line movement we all knew how heavily ppl were supporting the Bears. The Chargers, well... they never disappoint lol. Something as to give in LA, this can't keep on going on.

I shared my thoughts on the NFL slate yesterday morning and I stuck to it. I had 1 prop and that's all. Yes, it cashed and it was one of the best plays from our Proptimizer.

Busy day in the NBA!! Let the drama begin!!

GL today!

Last update: 4:30 PM (EST) FINAL

Sharp money plays:

+116.40 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020
These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.

NHL:


NBA:
WASHINGTON +12.5
MEMPHIS +2.5
LA CLIPPERS -12.5
CHARLOTTE UNDER 222
DETROIT UNDER 249
ATLANTA UNDER 241
SACRAMENTO UNDER 235.5
PORTLAND OVER 220

CBB:
PENNSYLVANIA -4.5
JACKSONVILLE -5.5
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE UNDER 147
ROBERT MORRIS UNDER 146.5
STONEHILL OVER 149.5
NEW ORLEANS OVER 146.5

CFB:
OHIO UNDER 53.5
APPALACHIAN STATE UNDER 48.5
NEW MEXICO STATE -1.5
MARSHALL UNDER 55.5
UTSA -8.5
AIR FORCE UNDER 42.5
AIR FORCE +3
KANSAS OVER 62.5
OREGON STATE UNDER 45
MISSISSIPPI OVER 47.5
FLORIDA STATE +14
FLORIDA STATE UNDER 46.5
LIBERTY OVER 64.5
WASHINGTON UNDER 65

NFL:
LAS VEGAS -3
WASHINGTON OVER 46
BALTIMORE OVER 40.5
DETROIT UNDER 47.5


MEGA SHARP:
NEW ORLEANS OVER 146.5
OHIO UNDER 53.5
NEW MEXICO STATE -1.5
APPALACHIAN STATE UNDER 48.5
FLORIDA STATE +14
UTSA -8.5

Sportsbook liabilities:

-276.65 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020
Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


NHL:
ARIZONA +110

NBA:
MILWAUKEE -11.5
SACRAMENTO -4.5
SAN ANTONIO +8.5
PORTLAND +13

CBB:
NORTHERN COLORADO -1
STONEHILL +13.5
HOWARD +6.5
COLUMBIA -2

CFB:
LOUISANA -1.5 12/16
OHIO STATE -6.5 12/29
MICHIGAN -1.5 1/1
IOWA +7.5 1/1
OREGON -14.5 1/1
OKLAHOMA +3

NFL:
TENNESSEE +14
JACKSONVILLE +3.5
LA CHARGERS +3
SEATTLE +4.5
DETROIT -4
CHICAGO +2

Square top positions:

-187.28 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022
It is a strategy to bet against the public and these regular joes are pretty good to fade. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the day.


NHL:
BUFFALO -130

NBA:
CHICAGO +11.5
DENVER -2.5
MIAMI -4
NY KNICKS -4
HOUSTON -9

CBB:
ROBERT MORRIS +4.5
PENNSYLVANIA -6.5
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +1.5

CFB:
JACKSONVILLE STATE -2 12/16
NEW MEXICO STATE -3 12/26
BOISE STATE +3 12/16
OLD DOMINION -2.5 12/18
UTSA -9.5 12/19
NORTHWESTERN +7 12/23
SAN JOSE STATE -9.5 12/23
AIR FORCE +3 12/23

NFL:
MIAMI -13
LAS VEGAS -3 12/14
DENVER +4
BALTIMORE -3
LA RAMS -7
ATLANTA -3

Whale plays:

627.5K SINCE JAN 2022
The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.

NEW HAMPSHIRE -13 25U
YALE -8.5 35U
CS NORTHRIDGE OVER 147.5 25U
DOLPHINS -13 35U

Model plays:

-20.61 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022
Hand-picked best EV bets from Anthony P's betting models

COYOTES +111
MAGIC -1.5
TWOLVES +4
DALLAS -1.5

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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