Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps September 23, 2023
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however, these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST; no movement is expected afterward. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your picks if both the model and Sharp agree.This article's format will change once we have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. I will also share my thoughts on the games. RECAP of yesterday's games: We finished the week hot with 3 straight wins. On Friday we had the under in Boston.
Buckle up, because even though we don't have a game to cover today, the betting world is still buzzing with action. Let's dive into the nitty-gritty of market movers, line shifts, and where the smart money's at. Trust me, you're gonna want to hear this.
First off, let's talk baseball. The Whale is making waves in the Diamondbacks' moneyline, and it's like watching a seesaw at BetOnline. Arizona opened at -115, shot up to -125, and then dipped back down to -106. What's the deal? Well, we've got two sets of sharps duking it out. The public is all-in on Arizona, holding 75% of the tickets, while the Yankees are quietly sitting on 58% of the handle.
Switching gears to the Angels, their moneyline took a nosedive from +182 to +161 this morning. The game's not exactly a hot ticket, but get this—80% of the handle is riding on the Angels. If you're looking for a dark horse, you might've just found one.
Now, let's talk some pigskin. The Eagles are probably still celebrating the Cowboys' beatdown in Arizona. But the real action's been in Tampa Bay. The line's been dancing more than a contestant on "Dancing with the Stars." It opened at Eagles -6.5, swung between -6 and -6.5, and finally settled at -5. The Bucs are holding 66% of the handle, but the Eagles are leading the ticket count.
But hold on, we've got another NFL rollercoaster. Thanks to Burrow's injuries, the line's been more volatile than Bitcoin. It opened at -7, plummeted to -1.5, climbed back to -3, and then did the cha-cha between -2.5 and -3. Finally, a flood of Rams money came in, and we're back to -1.5. If you're not dizzy yet, you're not paying attention.
For my PRO subscribers, you've got exclusive access to my model and notes. Tonight's game? The model's loving the over in Tampa and is sweet on the Bengals, even if Burrow's riding the bench.
So there you have it. The sharps might be snoozing in baseball, but the market's still buzzing. Whether you're betting on the Diamondbacks or eyeing that Eagles line, remember: In this game, the only sure bet is that there are no sure bets. Keep your eyes peeled, your ears open, and may the odds be ever in your favor.
RECAP: no games
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