Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps November 22, 2022
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. RECAP of yesterday's games: The sharps got the memo before everyone else and slammed the Pels before the news came out about the Warriors resting everyone. That was an easy win. The smart money wasn't as lucky with Abilene. The spread moved 5 pts in their favor and they lose by 16.
It's going to be a quiet day in the NHL and NBA but we have some CBB and NCAAF to get our fix taken care of.
In the NHL we have sharp money on both sides in Montreal. The Habs saw some sharp interest at -111 however when the Sabres hit +109 we saw another set of sharps taking a position on Buffalo.
In the NBA the injuries keep on fogging my projections. We have the Nets at -7.5 in Philly but no one is playing for the 76ers. There hasn't been any movement there.
The totals have been on the move more than the lines but nothing nig to report and it only looks like a little adjustment. Like in Denver, the over 220 moved to 224 and then back down to 222.
We have some early action in college basketball and Eastern Michigan was a target from the smart money. They opened at +6 and it's now to +3.5 and tipoff is in 45 min. Eastern Michigan is also a big square play.
Southern Miss opened a 2.5 pt underdog yesterday afternoon but the sharp interest came late at night when the books increased their max bet limits. By 8 am this morning the market makers made southern Miss a 1 pt favorite.
The sharp report has the sharps on Miami Ohio under 45.5 but the number hasn't moved much since then. College Football's sharp money plays are 31-15 +13.5 units in November. Are you tailing this one??
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