Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps November 21, 2022

Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

RECAP of yesterday's games: No games to recap.

It's going to be a busy week with the US Thanksgiving and I am looking forward to it. When I was younger, when I was in school or at work, I always found a way to never miss the Thursday Thanksgiving games. Won't be any different this year except that I have no one to tell me what to do!

The NFL consumed the shit out of me yesterday and that's when I usually prep for the following NHL week. I didn't do so much and felt I missed a step this morning however it's not that bad. In the NHL, we barely have any movement overnight. We do have 4 games where the sharps have shown interest overnight and they haven't moved much.

Similar story in the NBA however we do have a move to discuss. The Pels opened at -4 at BOL and the line moved to -5.5 very early this morning. The Warriors have yet to win on the road this year however they are 4-1 ATS last 5 games in New Orleans and 4-1 ATS with no rest.

With the lack of sharp action in the NBA and NHL, I don't expect much in college basketball either but we got a couple of movers.

Wright State opened at -3 favorites last night and smart money slammed Abilene Christian and moved the line to +1. That is a 4 pt swing on a team where the max bet limit is $2,000. It's very possible this line was hit at multiple books. I will have to agree with the smart money here, my model has Abilene at -2 on a neutral site and Kenpon at -5.

Good luck today

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