Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps August 11, 2022

Anthony P
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: No games to recap for yesterday. Today is a small slate and let's see if you can find a game or two.

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

For Thursday, the second run of the sharp report is showing that the sharps have taken a position on these 5 games:

BALTIMORE +108
BOSTON UNDER 10 -114
ARIZONA -179
COLORADO +115
HOUSTON UNDER 8.5 -115

The MLB betting model is showing no value on any of these games. I will take a look at the next update if a game opens up.

UPDATE:

I have the night off from the wife and kids tonight therefore ill sprinkle some cash on some NFL preseason.

New England -3

I don't get this line to be honest and that is what I hate about the preseason. At Betonline the Pats opened 2 pt. favs back on July 20th and it's all been sharp and square money on the Giants. The line is now at +3 at some books and that his a 5 pt. swing ffs. Belichick prepares well for preseason games going 58% ATS in 85 games. I guess that Daboll will want to win his first game ever but we don't much about what's going on in practice when videotaping is not allowed.

Baltimore at -3 or better or ML

I'll be picky here and I dont want the hook. The ML is also a play if you don't want to take the spread. There is not much to dig into in this game except that Harbough won 20 straight preseason games and he has a 71% win rate. He plays to win every single game and I'd follow this solid trend versus getting cute and betting the Titans.

Good luck today

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