Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps Aug 28, 2023

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST; no movement is expected afterward. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your picks if both the model and Sharp agree.

This article's format will change once we have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. I will also share my thoughts on the games.

RECAP of yesterday's games: I hope everyone had a great weekend. We are back for another week of grinding! On the 25th we had the Astros and Tigers going over 8.5. That pick didn't cash.

The silence of the sharps in MLB and WNBA today is deafening. While the Sharp report is brimming with insights for the NFL and CFB, baseball and the WNBA seem to have taken a backseat. But as any seasoned bettor knows, silence can speak volumes.

Diving into the market movers, the Angels-Phillies matchup stands out as the most wagered MLB game today. The Angels, despite holding only 52% of the handle, have seen a significant shift in their favor. The morning saw a sudden surge, with the line leaping from +132 to +118 around 10 a.m. EST. Such rapid movement suggests a potential undercurrent of information or strategy that the general public might not be privy to.

The Red Sox, enjoying a whopping 80% handle backing, have also seen their odds shift from -120 to -135. This movement, while not as dramatic as the Angels, still indicates a strong public sentiment in their favor.

However, the Yankees present a conundrum! There's a palpable lack of confidence in backing them. Opening at -108, the moneyline has tilted towards the Tigers, now standing at -120. With the Yankees commanding 75% of the handle, it's evident that sharps from other markets are placing their bets on the Tigers.

The Orioles, on the other hand, have witnessed a steady climb in their favor. From an opening of -209, they've surged to -243 this morning, bolstered by over 90% of tickets and handle. Such overwhelming support is a testament to their perceived strength in the matchup.

In the chilly north, Toronto has seen a drop in its total from 8.5 to 8, with Gray and Gausman taking the mound. This adjustment seems to have struck a balance in the total's handle, indicating a market consensus on the expected performance of these pitchers.

For those always on the hunt for value, Betrivers offers an enticing line on the NY Liberty at +1 -110, deviating from the market consensus of -1.5 -108. Similarly, the Cardinals at South Point are priced tantalizingly at +185, a whole 10 points above the market average. Pointbets also presents an opportunity with the over 9 -110 in St Louis, which seems to be a softer stance compared to the broader market.

In conclusion, while the sharps might be silent in certain arenas, the market movers provide a symphony of insights for the discerning bettor. This format, blending analysis with real-time shifts, offers readers a comprehensive view of the betting landscape. So, what's your take on this approach? Join the conversation on Discord and share your thoughts. Remember, in the world of sports betting, every perspective counts.

Recap:

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