Betting the Trends for July 29, 2022

Welcome to Betting the Trends.

Every day we will break down the top trends in each sport and provide a bet recommendation. Bet recommendations will be provided solely based on the top trends however the play needs to make sense and I will try and break that down also. Now, if you are a Sharpbets VIP or a Sharp app subscriber you can leverage all our other tools and make sharper betting decisions.

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Cubs, Pirates, and Mariners all failed to cash in even though strong trends were supporting them.

The trend plays are due for some huge positive regression and I really like what it has for this evening.

NY YANKEES -365

Kinda a no-brainer here and the Yankees are extremely popular in parlays at the book this evening.

• Bet against Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less. (41-5 last 5 seasons and 2-0 this season

• Bet against All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less (77-9 last 5 years)

• Bet against Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less.

• Bet against Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less.
  
  

CINCINNATI REDS RUNLINE +1.5 -145

This is an ugly pitching match-up and a high-risk play. The Reds did very well versus TB and the Orioles are really feeling good about themselves. I don't like both pitchers and we can see lots of runs tonight but the Reds bat can keep this game close just like the moneyline is suggesting it.

• Bet on Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (CINCINNATI) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against an opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts (56-14 since 1997.) (80.0%, +39.7 units)

• Bet against Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (BALTIMORE) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games. (36-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +27.4 units. Rating)
  
  

LA ANGELS -106

Ohtani pitched another gem yesterday and the Angels failed to give him any type of run support.... EVEN AFTER THAT MVP 1ST INNING FROM OHTANI!!! How can that shit pump you up??? Perez is due for some regression however he has been pitching well. Sandoval should also have a good game tonight but the Rangers have been good versus LHP in their last 45 days. Can these trends help the Angels?

• Bet against Road teams (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less (81-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +50 units)

• Bet on All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games. (73-45 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.9%, +28.8 units)

• Bet on Home teams (LA ANGELS) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less. (68-26 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +38.9 units)

• Bet against Road teams (TEXAS) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less. (61-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.9%, +34.2 units)
  
  GOOD LUCK TODAY

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