Sharp App: Sports Betting

Betting the Trends for July 26, 2022

Welcome to Betting the Trends.

Every day we will break down the top trends in each sport and provide a bet recommendation. Bet recommendations will be provided solely based on the top trends however the play needs to make sense and I will try and break that down also. Now, if you are a Sharpbets VIP or a Sharp app subscriber you can leverage all our other tools and make sharper betting decisions.

The trends are powered by Statfox Foxsheet

The Marlins got destroyed and we will not spend much time trying to figure out what happened there. Arizona had a pitching change and there was minimal impact on the trends.

Let's see what the trends have for us today.

Arizona and Baltimore have favorable trends tonight however I don't think the match-ups make sense. The pitching matchups are lopsided and both SF and TB can easily bounce back from yesterday's shitty games. Tonight we have a couple of totals where the trends are strong.

HOUSTON OVER 7 +111

This bet is highly contrarian since everything points to an under with Garcia and Montas pitching tonight. I can't remember that last time a game went over in Oakland while Montas was on the mount. Garcia's last 3 games went over and he gave up 5 runs to KC only on July 5th. Running those 3 starts his GB: FB flew from 1.34 to 2.83 but how much of that do we have to worry about with the A's? I like the A's tonight though, I like what they did to Odorizzi last night and they might get to Garcia also. My pick on the A's heavily lies on Montas.

  • Play Over - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.

  • Play Over - Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.

    Both trends total a winning record of 41-22 +18 units for the season


COLORADO UNDER 11 -117

This is one of my personal VIP picks and the trends also support it. We know that the Rockies most probably won't get much thru Kopech and his bullpen but what should we expect about Marquez and his ERA of close to 7 at home? Will the White Sox smash him and his terrible BP??? If so, why is the moneyline basically telling us that this game is a pickem??? Bet the under

  • Play Under - All teams where the total is 10 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - in an inter-league game, in July games.

  • Play Under - All teams where the total is 10 or higher (COLORADO) - in an inter-league game, in July games.

In the last 3 seasons, this trend is 30-6 for +24 units.


LAS VEGAS ACES UNDER 172.5

Some interest is coming in on the under once it reached 172.5. Initially opened at 168.5 yesterday morning and it flew to 172.5 by 1 pm today. Chicago's spread did also move by 2 points. Last time they played back on June 21st, they almost put up 200 pts and the total went over by 22 pts. The previous game, in LV, finished at 159 pts and went under my 14 points. WELCOME TO THE WNBA!!!

  • Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) after 15 or more games, in July games.

  • Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (LAS VEGAS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, on Tuesday nights.

  • Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.

GOOD LUCK TODAY

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