Betting the Trends for August 3, 2022

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Anthony P

Welcome to Betting the Trends.

Every day we will break down the top trends in each sport and provide a bet recommendation. Bet recommendations will be provided solely based on the top trends however the play needs to make sense and I will try and break that down also. Now, if you are a Sharpbets VIP or a Sharp app subscriber you can leverage all our other tools and make sharper betting decisions.

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The big bats showed up last night and the White Sox cruised to an easy 9-2 win over the Royals. Tonight, the trends are pushing us toward a VIP play which is San Francisco as a home dog of +156.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +156

It's hard to support the trends in this game however the Giants will be a huge contrarian play and we must target these types of games. The fact that the Dodgers have been dominating the Giants it makes it harder with Cobb on the mount however his numbers should be better and with everyone expecting the Dodgers to smash the Giants this can be a good spot to be contrarian. In 36 IP, cobb dropped his ERA to 2.75 in July allowing a BA of .219 and a wBOA of .244. Buying low on him is another reason why we can find value on the Giants tonight

  • Bet against Road teams (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (>=4.7 runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA= 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. (31-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (66%, +28.5 units)

  • Bet on Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a team on-base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games. (54-35 since 1997.) (60.7%, +37.3 units)

  • Bet against All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts.(43-25 since 1997.) (63.2%, +33.9 units)

  • Bet on Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a team on-base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games. (31-19 since 1997.) (62%, +28.1 units)


    GOOD LUCK TODAY

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