Betting the Trends for April 11, 2022

Welcome to Betting the Trends. Every day we will take the top 2 wagered games in the NHL and NBA and break down the top betting trends. Bet recommendations will be provided solely based on the top trends. Now, if you are a Sharpbets VIP or a Sharp app subscriber you can leverage all our other tools and make sharper betting decisions.

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Happy Monday everyone! We are back with another edition of betting the trends and it's going to be an exclusive MLB edition. The first 2 weeks of MLB might be messed up, time for the pitchers to get their shit together and teams to gel. We know that the Jays will be scoring a ton of runs this year however we also know they will be giving up just as much. Anyway, I'm glad MLB is back, it's been a profitable sport for me in the last 10 years and I'm looking to continue this year.

The most wagered games in the MLB today are in Baltimore, St. Louis and Kansas City

MILWAUKEE VS BALTIMORE

This game has also been featured on the Overnight Grid with the sharps being on Milwaukee. It's not surprising taking into consideration how bad the Orioles are. They are 0-3 to start the season and have scored a total of 4 runs in their first series versus Tampa Bay. I have a feeling we will be seeing a lot of the Orioles in this article this year. The Orioles are  44-113 in their last 157 during game 1 of a series, 19-42 in their last 61 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter, 78-160 in their last 238 games as a home underdog and 17-50 in their last 67 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Expectations are high for the Brewers this year but they need to be better on the road. On a short sample size from last year, which was carried in Chicago this weekend, the Brewers are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road. Many other road trends are not in their favour, but it's the Orioles right? The Brewers are 48-22 in their last 70 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, 40-19 in their last 59 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 51-22 in their last 73 games following a win. They also won their last 5 games versus Baltimore. Bet recommendation is on Milwaukee -160

PITTSBURGH VS ST. LOUIS

An expected win from the Pirates yesterday must have disappointed many Matz supporters in the DFS. This might be an overaction but the books did need to adjust their lines for today's game since the Pirates are seeing some unusual money coming in on them. The Cards went from -215 to -180. It's Monday and the Pirates are on the road, not a spot they like let me tell you, they are 2-19 in their last 21 games on a Monday when playing on the road and 0-14 in their last 14. They've been bad versus teams with a winning record and have only won 52 of their last 167 games. They also continue to struggle versus RHP and have lost 61 of their last 87 games. The Cards haven't had many issues with teams with losing records and have won 67% of their last 100 games versus teams with a winning record below .400, they are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter and 52-25 in their last 77 games as a favourite. Bet recommendation is on St. Louis -180 (PPD)

CLEVELAND VS KANSA CITY

Cleveland put up a whopping 17 runs yesterday and looks to extend that offensive outburst in this last game of the series. This game is priced fairly and will be an interesting one. As per Fangraphs (my best friend during the MLB season), Civale shared a similar BABIP last year versus his rooking year but the rest of the metrics were off. 17.2 HR/FB in 21 starts vs 6.6% in his rookie year. His ERA was lower last year than in 2020 but his xERA was .42 higher. It will be interesting to see how he does this year. Cleveland is 35-17 in their last 53 during a game 4 of a series however 17-35 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record, 5-12 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 5-12 in their last 17 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series,  4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 however 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games and 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss. Hernandez pitched well in the last month of the season last year however he was terrible in spring training. The Guardians have an edge in wins in game 4 of a series, they blew up for 17 runs yesterday so my Bet recommendation is on Cleveland -110

Good luck today

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