PGA Wyndham Championship Futures Bets

The Wyndham Championship, initially known as the Greater Greensboro Open, has a rich history dating back to 1938. The tournament is now hosted for the 40th time at Sedgefield Country Club, a traditional Donald Ross-designed course located just outside Greensboro, N.C. It's a crucial event determining who qualifies for the FedEx Cup playoffs.

Despite the ongoing debates about golf course length and rule variations, the Wyndham Championship stands out with its relatively short course, measuring just over 7,100 yards. Yet, the tournament's dramatic and exciting nature attracts few fan complaints. Over the last decade, the average winning score has been an impressive 19 under par.

One of the most intriguing aspects of this event is the unexpected winners it produces. In the past ten years, seven champions had initial odds of +5000 (50-1) or higher, and half had odds of +10000 (100-1) or more! This volatility adds to the thrill, making it a must-watch event where any player among the 156-man field can emerge victorious.

With the recent change in qualifying numbers, only the top 70 players on the FedEx Cup points list now make it into the playoffs. This has left some major names like Adam Scott, Gary Woodland, Joel Dahmen, and even the 2022 PGA champion Justin Thomas out of the playoffs. The competition to get inside this playoff parameter has turned the Wyndham Championship into a crucial event for players like Thomas, who needs a good performance.

The weather in Greensboro is favorable, with seasonal temperatures in the mid-80s and some expected rain during the tournament. The course conditions are already conducive to low scoring, with a target score of 20 under par.

The model breakdown for this course is as follows
Driving Distance 21%
Putting 14%
Driving Accuracy 25%
Around The Green 14%
Approach 25%

We can find some good prices at these smaller events. Because of that, I am making a lot of picks. We will be risking 0.38 units in all. I hope to hit at least one bet to make it a nice weekend.

The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.


To Win

Top 5

Top 10

Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.

1. Russell Henley
2. Doug Ghim
3. Hideki Matsuyama
4. Adam Scott
5. Adam Schenk
6. Alex Smalley
7. Lucas Glover
8. Vincent Norrman
9. Aaron Rai
10. Denny McCarthy
11. Peter Kuest
12. Austin Eckroat
13. Callum Tarren
14. Mark Hubbard
15. Cameron Champ
16. Kevin Yu
17. Si Woo Kim
18. Eric Cole
19. Shane Lowry
20. Nick Hardy