PGA Fedex St. Jude Championship

The PGA TOUR starts its 17th FedEx Cup Playoffs. This competition happens throughout the season and ends with the FedEx Cup Playoffs. These playoffs consist of three events that decide the winner of the season. The first event is the FedEx St. Jude Championship. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings (based on their performance up to now) are competing at TPC Southwind. As the playoffs go on, the number of players will decrease – from 70 to 50 to 30.

The players in the FedEx St. Jude Championship aim to advance to the season's final event, called the Tour Championship. In this last event, there's a chance to win a big prize of $18 million. The total bonus money for the FedEx Cup Playoffs is $75 million, and the player who wins the FedEx Cup at the end will get the main share of this money. The points that players earned during the regular season also count for the playoffs.

As I mentioned before, the playoffs have a decreasing number of players in each event. The FedEx St. Jude Championship has 70 players, the BMW Championship has 50 players, and the Tour Championship has 30 players. This is where the FedEx Cup Champion will be determined. The current top three players in the standings are Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy. They're leading before the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Unlike regular tournaments, there won't be cuts to reduce the number of players in the playoffs. Winners of the first two playoff events get a lot of points – 2,000 points each, which is much more than regular tournaments.

TPC Southwind is a classic-style course with trees lining the fairways. It's a par 70 course that measures 7,243 yards. The course is usually firm and known for being a place where players need a good short game, creativity, and imagination. TPC Southwind has become more recognized lately because of its higher status. Some important features of the course include small and firm Bermuda greens with areas around them, a tall and dense treeline that shapes the narrow fairways, and there's water that can be challenging but also offers opportunities for rewards.

The model breakdown for this course is as follows
Driving Distance 22%
Putting 19%
Driving Accuracy 19%
Around The Green 15%
Approach 26%

When you have a field like this the longer prices are attached to some really good golfers. We have a bunch to choose from this week. All of them will be played to win the tournament. Let's try and go back to back with winners this week!

The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.


To Win

Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.

1. Rory McIlroy
2. Scottie Scheffler
3. Wyndham Clark
4. Rickie Fowler
5. Jon Rahm
6. Lucas Glover
7. Tyrrell Hatton
8. Tommy Fleetwood
9. Viktor Hovland
10. Xander Schauffele
11. Patrick Cantlay
12. Russell Henley
13. Keegan Bradley
14. Justin Rose
15. Jordan Spieth
16. Nick Hardy
17. Byeong Hun An
18. Lee Hodges
19. Adam Schenk
20. Denny McCarthy