PGA Championship Best Bets and DFS Model Picks 2024

Event Overview
The 2024 PGA Championship is set to take place from May 16-19 at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky. This prestigious tournament, one of golf’s four major championships, will bring together the world’s top golfers to compete for the coveted Wanamaker Trophy.

The Course: Valhalla Golf Club
Designed by Jack Nicklaus and opened in 1986, Valhalla Golf Club is renowned for its challenging layout and strategic demands. The course has previously hosted the PGA Championship in 1996, 2000, and 2014, as well as the Ryder Cup in 2008.

Key Features of Valhalla Golf Club:

Length: The course stretches to 7,458 yards, with a par of 71.
Greens: Bentgrass greens are known for their speed and undulation, requiring precision in approach shots and putting.
Fairways: The fairways are also bentgrass, providing a consistent surface but penalizing errant shots with thick rough and strategic bunkering.
Water Hazards: Water comes into play on several holes, particularly on the back nine, where precision off the tee is crucial.
Signature Holes:
Hole 13 (Par 4, 350 yards): Known for its drivable green, offering risk-reward opportunities.
Hole 16 (Par 4, 508 yards): A long, demanding hole with water guarding the left side of the green.
Hole 18 (Par 5, 542 yards): The finishing hole presents an eagle opportunity but requires navigating a narrow fairway and water hazards.


Key Skills for Success


Driving Accuracy and Distance:

The length of Valhalla requires golfers to hit long, accurate drives to navigate the course effectively. Players who can combine power with precision off the tee will have a significant advantage.

Approach Shots:

With small, undulating greens, accurate approach shots are vital. Golfers need to place their shots strategically to leave themselves the best angles for putting.

Putting:

The fast, bentgrass greens will test the players' putting skills. The ability to read the greens and maintain composure under pressure will be crucial for success.

Course Management:

Valhalla demands strategic play. Knowing when to take risks and when to play conservatively will be key. Managing the course effectively, particularly the water hazards and bunkers, will be essential.

Mental Toughness:

As with any major championship, the mental aspect is as important as the physical. Handling the pressure of the big stage, especially during the closing holes, will determine who emerges victorious.

To Win

Golfer Odds Book Units Risked
Ludvig Aberg 2200 Fanduel 0.045
Wyndham Clark 4500 Fanduel 0.022
Byeong Hun An 6600 BetMGM 0.015
SW Kim 9000 Fanduel 0.011
Hideki Matsuyama 7500 Fanduel 0.013
Jon Rahm 1600 Fanduel 0.063
Brooks Koeka 1600 Draftkings 0.063
Total 0.232

Top 5
 

Golfer Odds Book Units Risked
Keith Mitchell 2200 Draftkings 0.045
Total 0.05


top 20 in DFS
 

Model Rank Golfer Salary Dr Dist SG: P SG: ARG SG: APP Fwys Gained
1 Scottie Scheffler 13200 51 59 4 1 6
2 Rory McIlroy 12000 4 34 35 16 125
3 Ludvig Aberg 10500 11 43 78 9 32
4 Wyndham Clark 9500 5 19 66 31 85
5 Xander Schauffele 10900 30 10 26 15 79
6 Byeong Hun An 7800 1 65 128 29 109
7 Bryson DeChambeau 9600 2 12 105 104 124
8 Jon Rahm 11400 7 108 96 17 128
9 Keith Mitchell 6600 13 147 125 3 46
10 Brooks Koepka 10800 29 25 39 36 92
11 Si Woo Kim 7700 107 145 7 4 4
12 Hideki Matsuyama 8600 68 104 1 10 82
13 Dustin Johnson 8000 10 111 36 26 135
14 Alex Noren 7200 111 51 3 12 34
15 Mackenzie Hughes 5800 65 2 13 84 54
16 Akshay Bhatia 7200 83 26 48 6 60
17 Sahith Theegala 8100 28 15 127 40 88
18 Talor Gooch 7600 66 85 5 42 26
19 Justin Thomas 9300 18 126 30 19 131
20 Taylor Pendrith 6000 16 14 28 121 122