Colossal Parlay Thursdays

Time to play the lottery! Picks are from The Sharp Report, The MLB betting model and I added a little AnthonyP craziness.

We have a 4 game parlay that pays +1825

TOR -141
PHI +136
KC +139
SF -1.5 +102

PARLAY PAYS +1825

TOR -141
Not much value in this game. Its a HUGE game for both teams. Toronto has their ace on the mount and should have a field day with the Yankees striking out north of 26% vs lefties. The money is on TOR while the public owns ~ 60% of the tickets.

PHI +136
Mismatch at pitching in this game however I doubt Anderson will go deep in this game and that's where the value is in this game. The public is massively behind the Braves in this game and we will not be following the money in this game. 70% of the cash is on the Braves. PHI NEED TO WIN!!

KC +139
Based on the amount of pitches Bieber is expected to throw we have once again value on KC. Nothing to get excited about Zerba except his K rate (in single A). He should be good to go for max 3-4 innings. We should see both bullpens early in this game. The high risk reward here is betting on a pitcher that we don't know much about, a taxed bullpen and a limited Bieber. KC BP pitched 18 innings in their last 3 starts. HIGH RISK play

SF -1.5 +102
SF is still 2 games ahead of LAD. Bum hasn't won a game since Aug 19th. He's been terrible on the road since with a high ERA, WHIP, walk rate and low SO rate. SF has 5 batters with BB% of 11% so this can be a long night for him. SF also has 5 batters with a k% of under 19%. You are probably saying " Why the fuck isn't SF in a tier1 play? Well the problem is Kazmir, that's all.

If you are not comfortable with a 4 team parlay, I suggest you remove KC and you can still get north of a +700 payout.

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