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Anthony P's NHL Model November 9, 2022

Anthony P
Anthony P
As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.
Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 9, 2022




The model was good to us yesterday going 5-1 on posted picks. I didn't agree with all of them but what the hell do I know right?

The line keeps on moving in the Canes favor and the value on the Panthers is now at +10% EV. We don't have any goalies projected so I went with Raanta and Bob. I assume Carolina will want to have Andersen tomorrow at home versus the Oilers. It's really hard to pass on this value on the Panthers at home especially since their issues have been on the road and they still haven't lost a game in regulation at home this season. Unfortunately, I strongly believe this game will come down to goaltending and the Canes have been much better. I'll pass on the value but if the line gets stupid we will have no choice but to put some change on the Panthers.

Montreal again tonight?? Vancouver is 4-12 last 16 meetings in Montreal the games are always entertaining. Adding to the entertainment factor, the over is also 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Both teams are on b2b games and have zero momentum hence making it harder to get a read on this game. All I can say is that Vancouver doesn't deserve to be such a high-road favorite. If Demko is between the pipes. you wouldn't want to bet on a goalie whos 1-6-1 with a GA of close to 4 and an SV% of .879. Montembeault started the season on fire with an SV% of .928 and a 2-1-1. I won't support the over but I like the value of the Habs tonight.

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