Anthony P's NHL Model March 20, 2022

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR MAR 20, 2023

In my previous article, the Overnight Night Grind, I discussed the matchup between the Panthers and Red Wings. I encourage you to check it out for more details. Despite the betting line shifting towards the Panthers, there is still value in supporting Florida, though the expected value is just above 2.50%.

The Panthers boast five players who are in exceptional form. In their last four games, Tkachuk, Montour, Reinhart, and Verhaeghe have collectively earned 30 points. Furthermore, Barkov has contributed 10 points in the past six games.

Conversely, the Detroit Red Wings have struggled in the past 30 days, ranking as the third-worst team by accumulating a mere 9 points and having a goal differential of -18. This can be attributed to their second-worst offense during this period.

Given the circumstances, I firmly believe that placing bets on the Panthers in regulation at -105 (up to -120) and on the puck line at -1.5 +145 is a viable strategy.

Good luck today!

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