Anthony P's NHL Model March 11, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR MAR 11, 2023

Ignore the value on the Wild since I am having formatting issues with this large slate. The is no value in that game.

Yesterday was weird AF. The Panthers needed OT to be one of the worst teams in the league and the Flames lost to the worst team in the league. Unreal.

We have some value on the Sabres but I am staying away. I strongly favor the Ranger's defensive game over the struggling Sabres who let the Stars score 10 goals in the last game. Buffalo is allowing 5.2 GA/G in their last 5 and they have allowed the sixth-highest number of goals in the NHL, with the fourth-highest amount of expected goals and the seventh-most high-danger shots in the league. Luukkonen has an SV% of 0.893 and he will face one of the best goalies in the league but he's not confirmed yet. The line dropped 15 pts and it's possible that Halak suits up for this game. The Rangers look very tempting at this number.

Good luck today!

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