Titans vs Browns Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - September 24th, 2023
The last time these two teams played was in Week 13 of 2020. That contest produced a high scoring shootout, as the Browns pulled off the home win 41-35.
Cleveland's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 326 yards per game -- #10-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #2-least yards per game: 197. The Cleveland Browns pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 61.8% completion rate (#3-stingiest in football). Cleveland's best coverage unit has been their safeties, which grade out as the #5 unit in the NFL in this regard. Cleveland's pass rush has been led by their defensive ends who, ranking as the #1 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. When it comes to their offense, the Browns check in at #12 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 227 yards per game (#17 in football). Their run game has ranked #9 with 4.62 yards per attempt on the ground.
Tennessee's biggest strength has been their run defense, which ranks #1 in the league while allowing just 3.44 yards per carry this season. The Titans safeties have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #2-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Titans have ranked #30 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 191 yards per game (#29 in football). On the ground they've ranked #24 with 4.05 yards per carry.
Titans Insights
The Sharp Model projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns defensive ends grade out as the best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.
The Tennessee Titans have ranked among the bottom passing attacks in the NFL since the start of last season (#32-29+1), averaging a miserable 191 yards per game through the air.
Browns Insights
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Deshaun Watson's passing efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 6.03 yards-per-target compared to a 7.06 mark last season.
The Sharp Model projects David Njoku to accumulate 0.23 receiving TDs in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
Betting Trends
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)