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Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers Matchup Preview - November 17th, 2022


The Tennessee Titans come in as 3.0 point road underdog as they travel to Lambeau Field to play the Green Bay Packers. It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The Packers won by double digits at home, outscoring the Titans 40-14 in Week 16 of 2020.

Green Bay's primary advantage has been their pass defense, which has allowed a scant 197 yards per game through the air -- #2-best in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing tight ends, who have managed just 35 yards per game against them (#30-least in football). Green Bay's best coverage unit has been their cornerbacks, which grade out as the #6 unit in the NFL in this regard. Green Bay's pass rush has been led by their defensive tackles who, ranking as the #6 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. When it comes to their offense, the Packers check in at #9 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 246 yards per game (#10 in football). Their run game has ranked #12 with 4.64 yards per attempt on the ground.

Tennessee's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #26 in the league while allowing 386 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #1-most yards per game: 304. They've had a hard time getting to the quarterback quickly, taking 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average) before applying pressure -- #4-slowest in the league. The Titans have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 201 yards per game (#1-worst). In terms of their offense, the Titans have ranked #30 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 165 yards per game (#31 in football). On the ground they've ranked #15 with 4.53 yards per carry.

Tennessee Titans Insights

  • The Sharp Model projects the Titans to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

  • Robert Woods has compiled far fewer air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

  • The Sharp Model projects Derrick Henry to rush for 0.67 TDs this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Green Bay Packers Insights

  • The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 2nd-best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.84 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

Betting Trends

  • The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+7.85 Units / 79% ROI)

  • Austin Hooper has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)


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