Sept 25 MNF Double Header Special

The Bottom Line article will lead us in making the right call on high-profile games. I will cover TNF, SNF, and MNF. I will also cover big baseball games, the NBA, and the NHL.

If you are not yet a PRO subscriber what are you waiting? I've already shared my initial projections for week 4. Get ahead of the game!

We covered the line movement for both games in the Overnight Grind this morning but let's take another look at it in details.

First off, let's talk about the line movement. Philly opened as a 6.5 point favorite, but that number's been slashed faster than a Black Friday sale, now sitting at a modest five. The total? Opened at 44 and got bet up to 47 before the sharps pounced on the under, bringing it back down to 46.

Now, injuries are the name of the game, and Philly's secondary is looking like a MASH unit. Bradbury and Blankenship, both key players in the corner and safety positions, are on the questionable list. Tampa's got its own woes, mostly on the defensive side. Carlton Davis, their star cornerback, missed their last game, and while Justin Fields couldn't capitalize on that, maybe Jalen Hurts can.

Let's get down to the nitty-gritty. The Eagles are sputtering like a car running out of gas. They've had to replace both of their coordinators, and Jalen Hurts seems a bit off-kilter. Asking Philly to cover and win by a touchdown on the road against a rejuvenated Tampa Bay team on Monday Night Football? That's like asking for a snowstorm in July.

Tampa Bay, on the other hand, is looking like a team that's found its groove. They're a veteran squad that knows how to handle the big stage. Baker Mayfield has been a revelation, and the team is rallying around him. The guy's blocking people twice his size and acting like a cheerleader on steroids. That kind of energy is contagious, and it's got the whole team buzzing.

The numbers back it up too. Philly's been gaining a measly five yards per play while giving up 5.7. And let's not forget, they haven't exactly faced a murderer's row of opponents. Tampa's got the better stats year-to-date, and the wise guys in town seem to love them. The line's likely to keep dropping, probably hitting four before game time.

So, what's the play here? If you're leaning towards the Eagles, maybe look at the money line, but honestly, the smart money's on Tampa Bay. The line's at plus five now, but it's dropping faster than a rock in a pond. This might be your last chance to buy low on the Bucs before the market catches up to them.

Already, let's jump into the Bengals game!

Grab your notepads and pens because we're diving deep into a Monday Night Football showdown that's got more layers than a seven-layer dip. We're talking about the Cincinnati Bengals squaring off against the Los Angeles Rams—a rematch of that infamous Super Bowl two years ago that still has Bengals fans salty. Remember that controversial penalty that basically handed the Rams the Lombardi Trophy? Yeah, the Bengals haven't forgotten, and neither should you when you're laying down your hard-earned cash on this game.

First off, let's talk about Joe Burrow. The guy's been walking wounded this season, and his status for this game is shakier than a leaf in a windstorm. But don't hit the panic button just yet. Last year, the Bengals were slow starters too, especially with Jamar Chase sidelined early in the season. So, if Burrow's in, expect some fireworks, but if he's out, well, let's just say the Bengals will have to dig deep.

On the flip side, Matthew Stafford's been slinging it for the Rams. He's got a new BFF in Nakua, but here's the kicker—Stafford took a beating last week that would make a crash test dummy wince. I'm no doctor, but those ribs looked like they took a serious hit. So, how's he gonna hold up against a Bengals defense that's out for blood, especially after that Super Bowl heartbreaker?

Now, let's get down to the nitty-gritty—the bets. With Burrow's status up in the air and Stafford nursing what could be some busted ribs, I'm leaning toward a slugfest rather than a shootout. Add in the fact that the Bengals' defense is probably still seeing red from that Super Bowl, and you've got all the makings of a low-scoring affair. So, for all you over/under junkies, my lean is on the under.

The Bottom Line: The smart money seems to be on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +5. With the line expected to drop even further, now might be the best time to lock in that bet. The Buccaneers have shown they're a team on the rise, rallying around Baker Mayfield's infectious energy. On the flip side, the Eagles have been struggling, particularly on the defensive end, and their offense hasn't been in sync. Given the current state of both teams and the favorable line movement, the prediction here would be to take the Buccaneers at +5 or better. Heritage just posted a +5.5 therefore I will wait and see what the market does. This could be a close game, but Tampa Bay has the momentum and the stats to not only cover the spread but potentially pull off an upset win against the Eagles. As for the Rams and Bengals, Given the variables we've got on the table—Joe Burrow's questionable status, Matthew Stafford's potential rib issue, and a Bengals defense that's probably still salty from that Super Bowl loss—I'm leaning towards a defensive battle here. Both teams have something to prove, and both quarterbacks might not be at 100%. That's a recipe for a grind-it-out, low-scoring game if I've ever seen one. So here's my prediction: I'm taking the under on this Monday Night Football showdown between the Bengals and the Rams. Expect both defenses to come out swinging, and don't be surprised if the final score has you double-checking to make sure you're not watching a baseball game.

Remember, this isn't financial advice, just a seasoned sports bettor giving you the lowdown. Always do your own research and bet responsibly. Good luck, and may your bets cash like a pro!


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