NFL Bet of the Day | THREE PICKS | November 23, 2023

In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.

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OVERALL RECORD: 35-28, +3.06u
RECAP:
It’s been tough sledding during this NFL season, and while we’ve hit on props and small bets, we haven’t been able to have that really big day to push us forward. The Chargers fumbled the bag on Sunday, while Seattle lost at the last second - and we hit on our two unders, to put us at 2-2 on the day. I have THREE free picks for you today!

November 23, 2023

This line has been climbing and climbing as the days have gone on, and I pounced on it earlier this week - but I still love the way this line is trending. This is a classic case of two defenses with high expectations, but on a short week, it’s hard to prepare on the defensive side of the ball. These offenses have been clicking as of late, and that means one thing: points. 

This total opened at 44, and has been on the rise ever since, finishing right now at about 47.5. I still love the play, as both of these teams could easily put up 24+ - we just saw the Lions do it against a competent Bears defense, and the Packers did it against the Chargers. These two teams should be able to score today. 
PICK: Green Bay/Detroit o46.5

Speaking of points, there could be a million of them scored in this game. You’re telling me that, against this Washington defense, the Dallas Cowboys aren’t going to score five touchdowns against this team? That’s 35 points right there. We just need a touchdown and two field goals from Washington, and we’re home free.

Simply put, the Commanders can’t guard anyone. This O/U has continued to rise as well, and Dallas is the best team in the league when they’re at home. This Dallas offense averages nearly 450 yards of total offense at home, and now they’re playing one of the worst defenses in the league. They might score 50. Who knows. 
PICK: Washington/Dallas o47.5

This line is another one that continued to move in a direction, but this time, downward. I gave these plays for PRO Subscribers last night before the lines moved, and so I hope that y’all capitalized on that - otherwise, I’m still good at this number. 

The Seattle Seahawks are in somewhat of a downward spiral, losing to the Rams on the road last week in a low-scoring game. Simply put, the Hawks are having trouble getting the ball in the hands of their playmakers. Want to know who doesn’t struggle with that? The 49er’s, whose defense is as menacing as they come. Their defense is ranked 5th in the league overall this season, and this Seattle offense is inept. I doubt the Hawks score much, and the 9er’s don’t have to score a million points to win this game. Take the under in this Primetime game. 
PICK: San Francisco/Seattle u44.5

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