Sharp App: Sports Betting

Colts vs Titans Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 3rd, 2023

In a highly anticipated divisional matchup, the Indianapolis Colts (6-5) will face off against the Tennessee Titans (4-7) at Nissan Stadium on Sunday afternoon. This game holds extra significance as both teams look to secure a crucial victory in their divisional rivalry.

The Colts enter the game with a record of 6-5, having won their last three consecutive games. Their recent success has propelled them to an above-average season, and they will be eager to continue their winning streak against the Titans. In their previous game, the Colts defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a final score of 27-20.

On the other hand, the Titans have struggled this season, currently holding a 4-7 record. Despite their recent struggles, the Titans have shown promise at home, winning four out of their last five home games. In their most recent game, they secured a 17-10 victory over the Carolina Panthers.

The last time these two teams met was in Week 5 of the 2023 season, resulting in a road win for the Colts with a final score of 23-16. This history adds an extra layer of intensity to the upcoming matchup.

Despite playing on the road, the Colts are considered slight favorites, while the Titans are labeled as slight underdogs. The spread currently stands at Colts -1.0, and the moneyline for the Colts is -120, indicating a 52% implied win probability. The Titans, with a moneyline of +100, have a 48% implied win probability.

As the game approaches, both teams will be motivated to secure a victory and gain an edge in their divisional rivalry. Football fans can expect an exciting and competitive matchup between the Colts and the Titans at Nissan Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

Colts Insights

  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Colts are expected by the projection model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

  • After averaging 67.0 air yards per game last year, Michael Pittman has seen marked improvement this year, currently sitting at 78.0 per game.

  • Our trusted projections expect Zack Moss to rush for 0.74 touchdowns this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Titans Insights

  • The Tennessee Titans feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.78 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

Betting Trends

  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 39% ROI)

  • Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)