Chiefs vs Packers Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 3rd, 2023
The Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) are set to take on the Green Bay Packers (5-6) in an exciting matchup on Sunday night. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 PM ET at Lambeau Field, the home stadium of the Packers.
Both teams come into this game with different streaks. The Chiefs have won their last two road games, showcasing their ability to perform well away from home. On the other hand, the Packers have won their last two home games, displaying their strength when playing in front of their home crowd. These streaks make this game one of the more intriguing matchups of the week.
The Chiefs will have the advantage of playing on normal rest this week, which could give them an edge over their opponent. With a record of 8-3, the Chiefs are having a great season and have met the high expectations placed on them. They have played well in recent weeks, winning eight of their last ten games.
In contrast, the Packers have had a below-average season with a record of 5-6. They have struggled in recent weeks, losing six of their last ten games. However, they are playing at home, which could provide them with some extra motivation to perform well.
The last time these two teams met was in Week 9 of the 2021 season, where the Chiefs secured a low-scoring road victory with a final score of 13-7. This time around, the Chiefs enter the game as favorites despite being on the road, while the Packers are considered underdogs despite playing at home.
According to the current spread, the Chiefs are favored by 6.0 points. The spread initially opened at Chiefs -6.0 and has remained unchanged. In terms of the moneyline, the Chiefs are listed at -250, indicating an implied win probability of 69%. The Packers, with a moneyline of +210, have an implied win probability of 31%.
This Sunday night showdown promises to be an exciting game between two teams with contrasting seasons. Will the Chiefs continue their strong performance on the road, or will the Packers defend their home turf and pull off an upset? Football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to find out.
Chiefs Insights
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.1% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Patrick Mahomes has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (277.0) this season than he did last season (325.0).
Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to accrue 0.46 receiving touchdowns this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
Packers Insights
While Patrick Taylor has been responsible for 7.7% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Green Bay's rushing attack this week at 18.3%.
Christian Watson has posted far more air yards this season (99.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).
The Chiefs pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.
Betting Trends
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 19 games (+1.25 Units / 6% ROI)
Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)