Sharp App: Sports Betting

Chargers vs Patriots Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 3rd, 2023

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-7) are set to face off against the New England Patriots (2-9) in an intriguing Sunday afternoon game at Gillette Stadium, the home of the Patriots. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET.

Both teams have had disappointing seasons, with the Patriots sporting a 2-9 record and the Chargers sitting at 4-7. The Patriots have underperformed expectations and are in the midst of a four-game losing streak, while the Chargers have lost their last three games.

One factor that could potentially hinder the Chargers' performance is the lengthy cross-country trip they had to make to play this road game. Having traveled across three time zones, the Chargers will be at a disadvantage compared to the Patriots, who are playing at home.

The two teams previously clashed in Week 8 of the 2021 season, resulting in a 27-24 home victory for the Patriots. Despite being on the road this time, the Chargers enter this game as favorites, while the Patriots are considered underdogs despite playing at home.

The betting odds reflect the Chargers' favoritism, with the spread currently set at Chargers -4.5. The opening spread was also Chargers -4.5, indicating a lack of movement from bettors.

The Moneyline for the Chargers is -220, suggesting an implied win probability of 66%. On the other hand, the Patriots' Moneyline is +185, giving them an implied win probability of 34%.

As the game approaches, both teams will be looking to break their respective losing streaks and secure a much-needed victory. The Chargers will aim to overcome their travel disadvantage, while the Patriots will seek to capitalize on their home field advantage.

Will the Chargers be able to overcome the odds and secure a win on the road, or will the Patriots pull off an upset at home? Only time will tell as these two teams battle it out on Sunday afternoon.

Chargers Insights

  • Rainy weather conditions (like those being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased run volume.

  • After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has shown good development this season, currently boasting 106.0 per game.

  • The leading projections forecast Keenan Allen to accrue 0.56 receiving TDs in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile amongwhen it comes to wideouts.

Patriots Insights

  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 41.8% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's safety corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.

  • This year, the imposing Chargers pass defense has conceded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a meager 4.1 YAC.

Betting Trends

  • The Los Angeles Chargers have scored first in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 69% ROI)

  • Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)