Buccaneers vs Falcons Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 10th, 2023
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) will face off against the Atlanta Falcons (6-6) in an anticipated matchup between divisional rivals. Both teams will be looking to secure a crucial victory, adding an extra level of significance to this game.
The Falcons currently hold a 6-6 record this season, indicating an average performance so far. On the other hand, the Buccaneers' record stands at 5-7, reflecting a below-average season for them.
The Buccaneers have struggled on the road lately, losing their last four consecutive road games. Meanwhile, the Falcons have been enduring a rough patch, losing six out of their last ten games.
As the game takes place in Atlanta, the Falcons are considered slight favorites with a spread of -1.5. This means that if you were to bet on the Falcons, they would need to win the game by at least two points for the bet to be successful. The Buccaneers, as the underdogs, have a spread of +1.5, requiring them to either win the game or lose by no more than one point for the bet to pay off.
The Moneyline odds for the game favor the Falcons at -125, indicating a higher probability of them winning. The Buccaneers, with odds of +105, have a slightly lower implied win probability of 47%.
This matchup promises to be a closely contested divisional battle as both teams vie for a win to improve their standings. Fans and bettors alike will be eager to see which team comes out on top in this exciting Sunday afternoon showdown.
Buccaneers Insights
The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to skew 4.9% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
After totaling 117.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Evans has produced significantly more this year, now boasting 134.0 per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have ranked among the weakest offenses in the league this year (#28 overall), averaging a terrible 287.0 adjusted yards per game.
Falcons Insights
While Tyler Allgeier has been responsible for 37.6% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Atlanta's ground game in this game at 27.0%.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.
Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to accumulate 0.19 receiving touchdowns in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)