Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams Matchup Preview - November 13th, 2022
Sunday the Arizona Cardinals (3-6) will battle the Los Angeles Rams (3-5). Oddsmakers peg the Rams as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 62%, leaving the Cardinals with a 38% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Rams -3.5 with a Game Total of 38.0.
Los Angeles's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #28 in football with a low 297 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their ground attack, clocking in at #32 in the league with just 3.24 yards per carry. The most important component of a strong ground game is a good offensive line. If the line isn't opening up holes and creating space, it doesn't matter how good a team's running backs are. Unfortunately for Los Angeles, their line ranks #1-worst in the league in run blocking. This presents a decided disadvantage for Los Angeles given that the Cardinals run defense has thrived this year, allowing a mere 5.11 yards per carry (good for #25-best in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Rams check in at #3 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 221 yards per game against Los Angeles this year (#12 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #3 against them with 4.13 yards per ground attempt. This Rams defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, allowing them to complete just 62.3% of their passes (#4-lowest in the league). Los Angeles's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have caught 70% of their passes (#6-highest in the league).
Arizona's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #24 in the league while allowing 387 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #8-most yards per carry: 5.11. The Cardinals linebackers have played a big part in their inability to stop the run, ranking #2-worst in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Cardinals have ranked #20 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 245 yards per game (#12 in football). On the ground they've ranked #23 with 4.13 yards per carry.
Arizona Cardinals Insights
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
Zach Ertz's receiving performance has gotten better this season, compiling 5.0 yards per game vs just 4.0 last season.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.64 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in football.
Los Angeles Rams Insights
The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to start backup quarterback John Wolford in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
Cooper Kupp has notched quite a few less air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
A.J. Green has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 40% ROI)