Anthony P's NFL season wins bets

Welcome to another season of the NFL with the Sharp App. Last year I broke even with my season wins bets but it came down to the last 2 weeks of the season and I was sweating a couple of bets.

This year I only have 2 plays and I feel very good about them.

In the thrilling world of the National Football League, where one play can dictate the fate of an entire season, predictions and prophecies go hand-in-hand with the love of the game. As we turn our sights on the new season, the Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings are two teams making waves for entirely different reasons. Sports bettors, grab your pens and notepads; this could be an intriguing ride.

The Atlanta Falcons: A Phoenix Rising?

The Atlanta Falcons' 7-10 finish last season may not have been the fairytale ending fans had hoped for, but if recent trends are anything to go by, things are looking up for the red and black. Of their ten losses, only two were by more than one score. It's a remarkable turnaround from the squad's initial form under coach Arthur Smith. With this momentum, betting against them seems riskier than ever.

Why should one consider the Falcons? The NFC South is a ship in turbulent waters, presenting a golden opportunity. This squad is loaded, with Desmond Ridder potentially delivering a career-defining season. Flanked by offensive powerhouses like Drake London, Kyle Pitts, Cordarrelle Patterson, and rookie RB Bijan Robinson, the Falcons are a force to be reckoned with.

It's not just the offense. Atlanta's defense underwent a makeover in the offseason, and combined with one of the easiest schedules in the league, they're poised to take the NFC South by storm.

So, while the run-game, backed by the top-graded PFF run-blocking OL, can be a game-changer, it's not the be-all and end-all. Winning football games in 2023 isn't just about running the ball efficiently. For a team aiming for the zenith, quarterback reliability is paramount. And this is where questions hover over Desmond Ridder. His rookie performance wasn't convincing enough to draw parallels with QBs like Jared Goff. Banking entirely on an OL's health and the run-game might be a misstep.

However, if Ridder rises to the challenge, evolving into an average (or above) starting QB, the NFC South could well be within Atlanta's grasp. A soft schedule plays to his advantage.

Nevertheless, betting on over is the play here.

The Minnesota Vikings: A Sudden Decline?

From one spectacle to another, the Minnesota Vikings' narrative is a head-scratcher. From a resounding 13 wins in one season to projections pointing at a 4.5-game decrease the next – what's amiss?

Having witnessed the dramatic ups and downs over the past few years – a mediocre seven and eight wins in 2020 and 2021, followed by a soaring 13-4 in 2023 – the team is searching for a way to regain momentum. Their strategy? Channeling the prowess of NFL maestros like Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen through their quarterback, Kirk Cousins.

A closer look at their stats from the previous season reveals cracks. Despite winning their divisional title, they were outscored by opponents, exhibited subpar defensive performances, and remained unpredictable against the spread. With these inconsistencies, sportsbooks are hinting at a less-than-stellar performance for Minnesota in the upcoming season.

Winning all nine one-score games, as in 2022, will be a tall order. Plus, the ever-looming threat of regression hangs in the air, especially with a defense that was not just underwhelming last season but has now lost a slew of starters.

The Vikings will face a gauntlet of games that may well decide their fate: at Bengals, Lions, Packers, and finally at Lions again. These matchups will not only test the team's mettle but also validate whether the Cousins transformation was a masterstroke or a misadventure.

The organizational mindset is more about building a long-term foundation than a rapid ascent. Offensively, the Vikings remain strong, but defensive frailties lurk, especially with a secondary that might be prone to conceding big plays.

Coach Flores, with his vast experience, could infuse some much-needed vitality, but it's clear: the Vikings aren't in the championship conversation this year. The predicted close-game regression already seems factored into the 8.5 win total and the under is the way to go here.


GOOD LUCK

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