Statsational NFL Wild Card Power Rankings

Each week, Statsational will go over his NFL Power Rankings to bring you up to speed on the numbers. Are your eyes deceiving you, or are the numbers wrong? Let us know in the Discord chat.


The ratings are based on each team vs. the average team in the league. You can use the rating differential of two teams and add the Home Field Advantage to get an idea of where the model likes the spread for that game. I would use this as a guide, not your final say on a game. We have a lot of models and tools for you to help with your handicapping, and this is one of them.


Here are the final rankings for the regular season. I will be doing an in-depth analysis of the playoffs with some futures bets I like today or tomorrow. Be on the lookout!

After Week 18
The current HFA is 2.12 I expect it to be 1.75 by year's end.

Rank

Teams

Power Rating

SOS

Defense Rating

Offense Rating

1

Buffalo

32.83

25.62

18.10

25.43

2

Kansas City

31.56

24.83

20.80

26.79

3

SF

31.30

24.33

17.48

23.36

4

Phil

31.13

24.47

19.43

25.13

5

Cincinnati

29.47

26.08

20.81

24.62

6

Dallas

29.33

24.93

19.95

23.86

7

Baltimore

27.58

26.18

19.03

21.04

8

Miami

27.16

26.45

21.41

23.00

9

Jacksonville

26.43

24.56

21.37

22.23

10

Cleveland

26.13

26.11

21.56

22.11

11

NE

26.04

26.06

19.28

19.75

12

Detroit

26.01

25.72

23.76

24.34

13

NY Jets

26.01

26.57

17.63

18.06

14

Washington

25.94

25.51

18.25

18.76

15

LAC

25.69

24.88

21.55

21.66

16

NO

25.62

25.37

19.41

19.46

17

Green Bay

25.40

25.53

20.43

20.26

18

Tampa Bay

25.32

25.80

20.02

19.76

19

Pittsburgh

25.21

26.52

19.02

18.66

20

Seattle

25.05

25.26

22.74

22.37

21

NY Giants

24.55

25.40

21.19

20.32

22

Minnesota

24.36

25.53

23.90

22.83

23

LasVegas

24.16

25.10

23.55

22.13

24

Denver

23.40

25.14

19.84

17.67

25

Atlanta

22.93

25.20

22.87

20.37

26

Carolina

22.93

25.36

21.82

19.32

27

Tennessee

22.33

25.52

20.56

17.32

28

LA Rams

22.23

26.23

20.52

17.32

29

Arizona

22.19

25.92

23.07

19.69

30

Indy

20.49

25.05

22.54

17.46

31

Chicago

20.11

26.33

23.75

18.43

32

Houston

18.36

25.12

23.64

16.43


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