Statsational 2023 NFL Week 2 Power Rankings

Each week, Statsational will go over his NFL Power Rankings to bring you up to speed on the numbers. Are your eyes deceiving you, or are the numbers wrong? Let us know in the Discord chat.


The ratings are based on each team vs. the average team in the league. You can use the rating differential of two teams and add the Home Field Advantage to get an idea of where the model likes the spread for that game. I would use this as a guide, not your final say on a game. We have a lot of models and tools for you to help with your handicapping, and this is one of them.

In the early stages of our data collection, spanning just two weeks, some of the rankings may appear rather unconventional in certain areas. However, as we accumulate additional weeks of data, these rankings will gradually stabilize for the majority of teams. This initial glimpse into the rankings offers a valuable opportunity to identify teams that could potentially outperform or underperform their recorded records.

Key

Power Rating - The higher the number, the better the team ranks. The differential in 2 teams can be compared to a pt spread on a neutral site.

SOS - Strength Of Schedule

Defense Rating - How many expected points are to be given up against an average team

Offense Rating - How many points are expected to be scored against an average team


After Week 2
The current HFA is -1.125. I expect it to be 1.75 by year's end.

Rank

Teams

Power Rating

SOS

Defense Rating

Offense Rating

W

L

1

Dallas

40.73

23.29

11.70

26.93

2

0

2

San Francisco

35.55

25.32

18.79

27.59

2

0

3

LA Rams

34.49

27.49

17.32

26.31

1

1

4

Buffalo

34.42

24.87

17.73

26.65

1

1

5

Cleveland

32.98

25.42

15.37

22.85

1

1

6

Miami

32.32

25.80

22.09

27.66

2

0

7

Atlanta

30.74

25.18

15.79

22.28

2

0

8

Kansas City

30.60

27.38

14.15

19.24

1

1

9

Baltimore

27.62

23.05

19.60

21.72

2

0

10

New Orleans

26.90

23.49

18.81

20.21

2

0

11

Philadelphia

26.89

24.66

22.73

24.12

2

0

12

Tampa Bay

25.74

21.24

17.18

17.42

2

0

13

Minnesota

25.59

26.82

22.68

22.78

0

2

14

Detroit

25.44

25.53

23.67

23.60

1

1

15

New England

25.42

29.08

17.15

18.32

0

2

16

Tennessee

25.11

25.45

19.85

19.46

1

1

17

NY Jets

24.83

30.72

18.01

17.34

1

1

18

Denver

24.40

24.78

24.01

24.16

0

2

19

Green Bay

23.96

21.84

24.05

21.27

1

1

20

Washington

23.94

22.66

24.48

22.92

2

0

21

Jacksonville

23.82

24.41

18.79

17.11

1

1

22

LA Chargers

22.44

25.83

28.30

25.24

0

2

23

Indianapolis

21.37

22.84

24.87

20.73

1

1

24

Carolina

21.13

24.91

21.18

16.81

0

2

25

Pittsburgh

21.13

31.41

22.93

19.81

1

1

26

Seattle

20.30

27.49

26.88

21.68

1

1

27

Arizona

19.28

23.20

26.18

19.96

0

2

28

NY Giants

18.40

27.91

25.24

18.13

1

1

29

Cincinnati

18.03

27.64

25.12

17.65

0

2

30

Houston

17.97

22.59

25.12

17.60

0

2

31

LasVegas

16.35

25.48

24.81

14.41

1

1

32

Chicago

14.73

25.26

27.55

16.77

0

2




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