Jake's College Basketball Picks 2/3

On Wednesday, I went 3-5 on my picks. A bit of a disappointment but in gambling, there are always ups and downs. We went 2-1 with our 2 unit plays, though, so we still happened to break even on the day. Tomorrow's slate is one of the greatest slates in a while. IU v. Purdue, Duke v. UNC, and out west, Gonzagaa v. St. Mary's, to name a few.

Purdue vs. Indiana: Purdue opened at -1.5 favorites.

  • My model predicts Purdue to win by 5.617 after 100 simulations.

  • Match-up in the paint between Zach Edey and Trayce Jackson-Davis. I predict Edey will have his way with the Hoosier's defense. I expect IU to run a zone and force the outside shot.

  • IU is 9-3 ATS at home

  • Purdue is 6-4-1 ATS on the road

  • Split match-ups last year; however, IU went 2-0 ATS in both

I will be taking Indiana +2.5

Kansas vs. Iowa State: Iowa State opened at 1.5 point favorite

  • On 1/14, Iowa State covered a 7.5-point line, losing by 2 against Kansas

  • Iowa State is coming off an atrocious second half against Texas Tech, not covering +2.5

  • Kansas is coming off 2 big wins against Kentucky and K-State

  • Kansas is 9-13 ATS, Iowa State is 12-9 ATS

  • Sharp's betting model predicts a PK game

I am taking Kansas ML


Other games I will be betting on tomorrow:

Michigan State vs. Rutgers: Rutgers -3.5
Auburn vs. Tennessee: Auburn +9.5
Duke vs. UNC: Duke ML
Gonzaga vs. St. Mary's: Gonzaga +4.5
Villanova vs. Creighton: Villanova +8.5

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